Historical rule simulator
Backtest: When Fear & Greed Falls Below 25
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy when fear & greed falls below 25, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Zcash
14 historical signal(s) detected for Zcash; 11 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (3 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-12 | 2025-10-19 | $293.0956 | $220.9870 | -24.60% | 75.40 |
| 2025-10-22 | 2025-10-29 | $263.2490 | $315.9646 | +20.02% | 90.50 |
| 2025-11-04 | 2025-11-11 | $432.0111 | $523.0839 | +21.08% | 109.57 |
| 2025-12-06 | 2025-12-13 | $359.9526 | $456.0426 | +26.70% | 138.82 |
| 2025-12-13 | 2025-12-20 | $456.0426 | $444.3941 | -2.55% | 135.28 |
| 2026-01-10 | 2026-01-17 | $417.4310 | $410.1888 | -1.73% | 132.93 |
| 2026-01-21 | 2026-01-28 | $349.5431 | $397.8827 | +13.83% | 151.31 |
| 2026-01-30 | 2026-02-06 | $353.0063 | $206.2654 | -41.57% | 88.41 |
| 2026-05-19 | 2026-05-26 | $563.1102 | $651.6263 | +15.72% | 102.31 |
| 2026-07-14 | 2026-07-21 | $495.4195 | $542.4718 | +9.50% | 112.03 |
| 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-07 | $469.9643 | $501.9433 | +6.80% | 119.65 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.