Transparent historical data
What Happens to Zcash When Fear & Greed Falls Below 20?
Zcash has recorded 12 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -0.64% and 50.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Alternative.me Crypto Fear & Greed Index and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -35.9% to -28.4% | 1 |
| -28.4% to -20.9% | 0 |
| -20.9% to -13.4% | 2 |
| -13.4% to -5.8% | 2 |
| -5.8% to +1.7% | 2 |
| +1.7% to +9.2% | 1 |
| +9.2% to +16.7% | 1 |
| +16.7% to +24.3% | 1 |
| +24.3% to +31.8% | 2 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 12 | 2.08% | 0.93% | 75.0% | 11.75% | -8.09% |
| 3 days | 12 | 0.61% | 1.12% | 58.3% | 31.80% | -35.92% |
| 7 days | 12 | -0.64% | 1.21% | 50.0% | 33.06% | -41.57% |
| 14 days | 12 | -8.12% | -5.07% | 41.7% | 30.92% | -34.00% |
| 30 days | 12 | -22.08% | -11.60% | 33.3% | 47.31% | -47.23% |
| 90 days | 11 | -38.67% | -15.72% | 27.3% | 103.35% | -68.26% |
Historical occurrences
12 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | 20.00 | $483.79 | -3.70% | +2.91% | +16.61% | +10.01% | +3.75% | — |
| 2026-06-03 | 11.00 | $608.64 | +2.02% | -35.92% | -29.50% | -17.07% | -28.66% | +39.28% |
| 2026-03-20 | 11.00 | $234.50 | +0.17% | -7.15% | -5.55% | +2.74% | +37.84% | +103.35% |
| 2026-01-30 | 16.00 | $353.01 | -3.66% | -13.54% | -41.57% | -34.00% | -37.59% | -7.29% |
| 2026-01-26 | 20.00 | $328.01 | +11.75% | +12.87% | -6.95% | -27.18% | -26.12% | +9.41% |
| 2026-01-22 | 20.00 | $355.03 | +2.70% | +1.08% | +4.28% | -29.26% | -27.32% | -10.72% |
| 2026-01-01 | 20.00 | $511.13 | +2.76% | +0.14% | -8.18% | -12.61% | -33.46% | -51.59% |
| 2025-12-26 | 20.00 | $437.87 | +2.26% | +20.91% | +19.95% | -3.63% | -18.04% | -47.15% |
| 2025-12-15 | 16.00 | $404.40 | +2.15% | -6.87% | +9.18% | +30.92% | +0.08% | -47.50% |
| 2025-12-07 | 20.00 | $341.70 | +0.36% | +26.77% | +29.62% | +30.79% | +47.31% | -38.67% |
| 2025-11-13 | 15.00 | $505.48 | +2.44% | +31.80% | +33.06% | +4.15% | -9.78% | -53.74% |
| 2025-11-08 | 20.00 | $649.89 | -8.09% | -19.51% | -6.42% | -15.72% | -47.23% | -68.26% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-11-13: +33.06%
- 2025-12-07: +29.62%
- 2025-12-26: +19.95%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-01-30: -41.57%
- 2026-06-03: -29.50%
- 2026-01-01: -8.18%
How this study works
Daily Fear & Greed observations satisfying the inclusive threshold are grouped into episodes, then returns are measured from the target asset's same-date price.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.