Historical rule simulator
Backtest: When Fear & Greed Falls Below 20
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy when fear & greed falls below 20, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Zcash
12 historical signal(s) detected for Zcash; 9 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (3 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | 2025-11-15 | $649.8903 | $608.1992 | -6.42% | 93.58 |
| 2025-12-07 | 2025-12-14 | $341.6951 | $442.9134 | +29.62% | 121.31 |
| 2025-12-15 | 2025-12-22 | $404.3998 | $441.5361 | +9.18% | 132.45 |
| 2025-12-26 | 2026-01-02 | $437.8740 | $525.2339 | +19.95% | 158.87 |
| 2026-01-22 | 2026-01-29 | $355.0290 | $370.2155 | +4.28% | 165.67 |
| 2026-01-30 | 2026-02-06 | $353.0063 | $206.2654 | -41.57% | 96.80 |
| 2026-03-20 | 2026-03-27 | $234.5005 | $221.4807 | -5.55% | 91.43 |
| 2026-06-03 | 2026-06-10 | $608.6417 | $429.0663 | -29.50% | 64.45 |
| 2026-07-08 | 2026-07-15 | $483.7924 | $564.1363 | +16.61% | 75.16 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.