Transparent historical data
What Happens to Zcash When Fear & Greed Falls Below 10?
Zcash has recorded 6 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 2.87% and 50.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Alternative.me Crypto Fear & Greed Index and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 30-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -33.5% to -22.8% | 1 |
| -22.8% to -12.1% | 0 |
| -12.1% to -1.4% | 1 |
| -1.4% to +9.4% | 0 |
| +9.4% to +20.1% | 2 |
| +20.1% to +30.8% | 0 |
| +30.8% to +41.5% | 0 |
| +41.5% to +52.2% | 1 |
| +52.2% to +63.0% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 6 | 6.45% | 7.26% | 100.0% | 16.41% | 0.48% |
| 3 days | 6 | 9.64% | 7.16% | 83.3% | 15.79% | -7.09% |
| 7 days | 6 | 2.87% | 3.02% | 50.0% | 16.78% | -9.95% |
| 14 days | 6 | 9.21% | 5.65% | 66.7% | 26.78% | -25.51% |
| 30 days | 6 | 13.00% | 15.84% | 66.7% | 62.96% | -33.51% |
| 90 days | 6 | 126.58% | 98.59% | 83.3% | 168.90% | -61.69% |
Historical occurrences
6 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | 8.00 | $439.98 | +4.23% | -7.09% | +7.39% | -1.35% | +9.96% | +133.18% |
| 2026-03-22 | 10.00 | $216.71 | +0.48% | +11.57% | -1.64% | +15.57% | +44.04% | +119.99% |
| 2026-03-09 | 8.00 | $197.46 | +8.09% | +7.70% | +16.78% | +10.27% | +62.96% | +83.41% |
| 2026-03-02 | 10.00 | $213.21 | +4.81% | +14.10% | -7.39% | +8.15% | +16.05% | +147.74% |
| 2026-02-06 | 9.00 | $206.27 | +16.41% | +15.79% | +12.95% | +26.78% | -4.43% | +168.90% |
| 2025-11-15 | 10.00 | $608.20 | +9.54% | +0.89% | -9.95% | -25.51% | -33.51% | -61.69% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-03-09: +16.78%
- 2026-02-06: +12.95%
- 2026-06-08: +7.39%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-11-15: -9.95%
- 2026-03-02: -7.39%
- 2026-03-22: -1.64%
How this study works
Daily Fear & Greed observations satisfying the inclusive threshold are grouped into episodes, then returns are measured from the target asset's same-date price.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.