Historical rule simulator
Backtest: When Fear & Greed Falls Below 10
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy when fear & greed falls below 10, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Zcash
6 historical signal(s) detected for Zcash; 6 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | 2025-11-22 | $608.1992 | $547.7121 | -9.95% | 90.05 |
| 2026-02-06 | 2026-02-13 | $206.2654 | $232.9823 | +12.95% | 101.72 |
| 2026-03-02 | 2026-03-09 | $213.2087 | $197.4597 | -7.39% | 94.21 |
| 2026-03-09 | 2026-03-16 | $197.4597 | $230.5840 | +16.78% | 110.01 |
| 2026-03-22 | 2026-03-29 | $216.7052 | $213.1436 | -1.64% | 108.20 |
| 2026-06-08 | 2026-06-15 | $439.9814 | $472.5013 | +7.39% | 116.20 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.