Transparent historical data
What Happens to Zcash After a 5% One-Day Rise?
Zcash has recorded 61 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 9.26% and 63.9% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 14-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -49.6% to -7.9% | 13 |
| -7.9% to +33.8% | 27 |
| +33.8% to +75.5% | 12 |
| +75.5% to +117.2% | 4 |
| +117.2% to +158.9% | 2 |
| +158.9% to +200.6% | 0 |
| +200.6% to +242.3% | 0 |
| +242.3% to +284.0% | 0 |
| +284.0% to +325.7% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 64 | 1.67% | 2.54% | 60.9% | 21.68% | -13.22% |
| 3 days | 63 | 2.34% | 7.14% | 63.5% | 95.74% | -35.92% |
| 7 days | 61 | 9.26% | 14.11% | 63.9% | 169.96% | -29.50% |
| 14 days | 59 | 7.46% | 23.95% | 61.0% | 325.65% | -49.59% |
| 30 days | 54 | 8.07% | 48.07% | 55.6% | 414.73% | -40.83% |
| 90 days | 49 | 26.72% | 77.89% | 59.2% | 763.21% | -61.69% |
Historical occurrences
64 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | 9.48 | $1163.69 | -4.61% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-12 | 7.84 | $1164.47 | -3.67% | -0.07% | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-10 | 5.65 | $1244.29 | -13.22% | -9.85% | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-07 | 19.61 | $1227.11 | -7.17% | +1.40% | -13.38% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-04 | 16.85 | $952.67 | +7.39% | +28.81% | +13.35% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-30 | 5.10 | $842.24 | -0.72% | -1.47% | +21.81% | +33.18% | — | — |
| 2026-08-27 | 6.30 | $816.38 | -0.77% | +3.17% | -0.14% | +52.42% | — | — |
| 2026-08-22 | 28.91 | $733.47 | +9.51% | +13.21% | +9.26% | +39.48% | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 | 11.02 | $564.57 | +0.78% | +42.27% | +44.60% | +44.40% | — | — |
| 2026-08-18 | 5.71 | $513.92 | -1.05% | +10.71% | +61.57% | +64.95% | — | — |
| 2026-08-03 | 6.00 | $489.14 | -1.25% | +4.64% | +4.15% | -0.61% | +69.66% | — |
| 2026-07-15 | 13.87 | $564.14 | +1.07% | -2.99% | -5.66% | -17.49% | -13.03% | — |
| 2026-07-08 | 6.94 | $483.79 | -3.70% | +2.91% | +16.61% | +10.01% | +3.75% | — |
| 2026-07-04 | 6.09 | $460.65 | +0.52% | -1.79% | +8.08% | +18.81% | +6.18% | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 8.15 | $406.61 | -1.79% | +6.78% | +11.26% | +21.84% | +14.90% | — |
| 2026-06-15 | 12.40 | $472.50 | +9.73% | +0.92% | -8.14% | -20.43% | +19.39% | +137.40% |
| 2026-06-08 | 21.49 | $439.98 | +4.23% | -7.09% | +7.39% | -1.35% | +9.96% | +133.18% |
| 2026-06-03 | 11.95 | $608.64 | +2.02% | -35.92% | -29.50% | -17.07% | -28.66% | +39.28% |
| 2026-06-01 | 7.80 | $569.41 | -4.52% | +9.05% | -22.73% | -17.02% | -29.87% | +47.91% |
| 2026-05-24 | 8.22 | $630.48 | +5.13% | -9.63% | -16.22% | -42.56% | -29.94% | +16.33% |
| 2026-05-21 | 17.30 | $672.82 | -1.37% | -6.29% | -19.55% | -7.71% | -29.14% | -24.42% |
| 2026-05-19 | 5.09 | $563.11 | +1.86% | +17.84% | +15.72% | -3.45% | -15.32% | -13.67% |
| 2026-05-15 | 6.91 | $560.56 | -8.11% | -4.41% | +18.38% | -2.37% | -25.01% | -12.63% |
| 2026-05-09 | 6.63 | $612.68 | -2.94% | -9.23% | -15.92% | -4.91% | -28.19% | -18.07% |
| 2026-05-06 | 22.16 | $516.86 | +7.31% | +18.54% | +10.45% | +10.98% | -11.16% | -6.55% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-09-29: +169.96%
- 2025-10-05: +86.28%
- 2026-05-01: +63.95%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-06-03: -29.50%
- 2025-11-24: -25.10%
- 2026-06-01: -22.73%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 1 day(s) rises to or above 5%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.