Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 5% One-Day Rise
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 5% one-day rise, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Zcash
64 historical signal(s) detected for Zcash; 37 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (27 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
2 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-14 | 2025-09-21 | $52.8311 | $50.6487 | -4.13% | 95.87 |
| 2025-09-24 | 2025-10-01 | $54.9860 | $74.1061 | +34.77% | 129.21 |
| 2025-10-02 | 2025-10-09 | $120.1539 | $175.5784 | +46.13% | 188.81 |
| 2025-10-09 | 2025-10-16 | $175.5784 | $229.8183 | +30.89% | 247.13 |
| 2025-10-18 | 2025-10-25 | $217.4053 | $270.5618 | +24.45% | 307.56 |
| 2025-10-25 | 2025-11-01 | $270.5618 | $404.7621 | +49.60% | 460.11 |
| 2025-11-01 | 2025-11-08 | $404.7621 | $649.8903 | +60.56% | 738.75 |
| 2025-11-13 | 2025-11-20 | $505.4800 | $672.6149 | +33.06% | 983.01 |
| 2025-11-20 | 2025-11-27 | $672.6149 | $526.4443 | -21.73% | 769.39 |
| 2025-12-04 | 2025-12-11 | $339.0926 | $404.0058 | +19.14% | 916.67 |
| 2025-12-12 | 2025-12-19 | $451.0450 | $388.0998 | -13.96% | 788.75 |
| 2025-12-20 | 2025-12-27 | $444.3941 | $447.7749 | +0.76% | 794.75 |
| 2025-12-28 | 2026-01-04 | $515.8740 | $511.8273 | -0.78% | 788.51 |
| 2026-01-13 | 2026-01-20 | $405.9944 | $368.6854 | -9.19% | 716.05 |
| 2026-01-27 | 2026-02-03 | $366.5614 | $294.3372 | -19.70% | 574.97 |
| 2026-02-07 | 2026-02-14 | $240.1038 | $266.6353 | +11.05% | 638.50 |
| 2026-02-14 | 2026-02-21 | $266.6353 | $258.0195 | -3.23% | 617.87 |
| 2026-03-05 | 2026-03-12 | $243.2615 | $212.6606 | -12.58% | 540.15 |
| 2026-03-16 | 2026-03-23 | $230.5840 | $217.7353 | -5.57% | 510.05 |
| 2026-03-25 | 2026-04-01 | $241.7843 | $247.4266 | +2.33% | 521.95 |
| 2026-04-05 | 2026-04-12 | $250.4522 | $370.8013 | +48.05% | 772.76 |
| 2026-04-24 | 2026-05-01 | $342.7197 | $350.4622 | +2.26% | 790.22 |
| 2026-05-01 | 2026-05-08 | $350.4622 | $574.5925 | +63.95% | 1295.59 |
| 2026-05-09 | 2026-05-16 | $612.6839 | $515.1261 | -15.92% | 1089.29 |
| 2026-05-19 | 2026-05-26 | $563.1102 | $651.6263 | +15.72% | 1260.52 |
| 2026-06-01 | 2026-06-08 | $569.4121 | $439.9814 | -22.73% | 974.00 |
| 2026-06-08 | 2026-06-15 | $439.9814 | $472.5013 | +7.39% | 1045.98 |
| 2026-06-15 | 2026-06-22 | $472.5013 | $434.0413 | -8.14% | 960.85 |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-07 | $406.6092 | $452.3946 | +11.26% | 1069.04 |
| 2026-07-08 | 2026-07-15 | $483.7924 | $564.1363 | +16.61% | 1246.58 |
| 2026-07-15 | 2026-07-22 | $564.1363 | $532.2180 | -5.66% | 1176.05 |
| 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-10 | $489.1385 | $509.4391 | +4.15% | 1224.85 |
| 2026-08-18 | 2026-08-25 | $513.9225 | $830.3224 | +61.57% | 1978.95 |
| 2026-08-27 | 2026-09-03 | $816.3760 | $815.2623 | -0.14% | 1976.25 |
| 2026-09-04 | 2026-09-11 | $952.6663 | $1079.8141 | +13.35% | 2240.01 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.