Transparent historical data

What Happens to Zcash After a 3x Volume Spike?

Zcash has recorded 8 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -2.28% and 50.0% of outcomes finished higher.

Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets โ†’ ยท Backtest this rule โ†’

Outcome summary

Horizon14 days
Sample7
Median return+18.02%
Average return+10.45%
Positive outcomes57.1%
Best / worst+40.82% / -30.95%

Distribution of 14-day outcomes

-30.9% to -23.0%: 1-23.0% to -15.0%: 1-15.0% to -7.0%: 0-7.0% to +1.0%: 1+1.0% to +8.9%: 0+8.9% to +16.9%: 0+16.9% to +24.9%: 2+24.9% to +32.8%: 0+32.8% to +40.8%: 2
Return rangeOccurrences
-30.9% to -23.0%1
-23.0% to -15.0%1
-15.0% to -7.0%0
-7.0% to +1.0%1
+1.0% to +8.9%0
+8.9% to +16.9%0
+16.9% to +24.9%2
+24.9% to +32.8%0
+32.8% to +40.8%2

All forward horizons

Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.

HorizonSampleMedianAveragePositiveBestWorst
1 days 8 -1.24% 1.64% 50.0% 27.84% -14.74%
3 days 8 5.17% 7.62% 62.5% 46.61% -19.51%
7 days 8 -2.28% -1.79% 50.0% 17.31% -22.09%
14 days 7 18.02% 10.45% 57.1% 40.82% -30.95%
30 days 6 -19.99% 10.20% 33.3% 167.98% -47.23%
90 days 6 -43.97% 2.03% 33.3% 144.28% -68.26%

Historical occurrences

8 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.

Filters apply to the list below only โ€” outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.

DateTriggerPrice1d3d7d14d30d90d
2026-09-07 3.69 $1227.11 -7.17% +1.40% -13.38% โ€” โ€” โ€”
2026-08-22 8.77 $733.47 +9.51% +13.21% +9.26% +39.48% โ€” โ€”
2026-06-06 4.96 $389.99 -7.14% +17.59% +5.57% +22.24% +18.44% +144.28%
2025-11-16 3.05 $666.20 +4.66% -6.30% -22.09% -30.95% -37.99% -59.98%
2025-11-11 4.38 $523.08 -14.74% -1.01% +17.31% -0.77% -22.76% -54.34%
2025-11-08 4.82 $649.89 -8.09% -19.51% -6.42% -15.72% -47.23% -68.26%
2025-11-05 3.35 $443.28 +8.28% +46.61% +0.61% +40.82% -17.22% -33.60%
2025-10-11 14.86 $229.26 +27.84% +8.94% -5.17% +18.02% +167.98% +84.07%

Best 7-day cases

  1. 2025-11-11: +17.31%
  2. 2026-08-22: +9.26%
  3. 2026-06-06: +5.57%

Worst 7-day cases

  1. 2025-11-16: -22.09%
  2. 2026-09-07: -13.38%
  3. 2025-11-08: -6.42%

How this study works

Daily volume is compared with the median of the preceding 30 complete observations.

Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) โˆ’ 1) ร— 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.

Read the full methodology ยท Review data sources

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