Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After a 3x Volume Spike

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after a 3x volume spike, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for Zcash

8 historical signal(s) detected for Zcash; 6 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (2 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades6
Win rate50.0%
Average return / trade-4.20%
Compounded total return-25.74%
Max drawdown-25.74%
Buy & hold, same period+363.65%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2025-10-11 2025-10-18 $229.2593 $217.4053 -5.17% 94.83
2025-11-05 2025-11-12 $443.2769 $445.9729 +0.61% 95.41
2025-11-16 2025-11-23 $666.1985 $519.0073 -22.09% 74.33
2026-06-06 2026-06-13 $389.9925 $411.6969 +5.57% 78.46
2026-08-22 2026-08-29 $733.4660 $801.3777 +9.26% 85.73
2026-09-07 2026-09-14 $1227.1109 $1062.9597 -13.38% 74.26

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for Zcash ยท Read the full methodology