Transparent historical data
What Happens to Zcash After a 3% One-Day Rise?
Zcash has recorded 75 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 7.39% and 60.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 90-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -61.7% to +34.6% | 28 |
| +34.6% to +130.8% | 14 |
| +130.8% to +227.1% | 8 |
| +227.1% to +323.3% | 0 |
| +323.3% to +419.6% | 1 |
| +419.6% to +515.8% | 0 |
| +515.8% to +612.1% | 0 |
| +612.1% to +708.4% | 2 |
| +708.4% to +804.6% | 3 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 77 | 2.02% | 2.73% | 62.3% | 21.68% | -9.33% |
| 3 days | 76 | 3.04% | 7.26% | 67.1% | 95.74% | -35.92% |
| 7 days | 75 | 7.39% | 11.51% | 60.0% | 169.96% | -35.59% |
| 14 days | 72 | 7.22% | 24.24% | 62.5% | 325.65% | -49.59% |
| 30 days | 67 | 12.74% | 54.34% | 59.7% | 430.39% | -42.49% |
| 90 days | 56 | 34.03% | 101.10% | 60.7% | 804.62% | -61.69% |
Historical occurrences
77 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | 9.48 | $1163.69 | -4.61% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-12 | 7.84 | $1164.47 | -3.67% | -0.07% | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-09 | 3.38 | $1177.69 | +5.65% | -1.12% | -5.74% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-07 | 19.61 | $1227.11 | -7.17% | +1.40% | -13.38% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-04 | 16.85 | $952.67 | +7.39% | +28.81% | +13.35% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-30 | 5.10 | $842.24 | -0.72% | -1.47% | +21.81% | +33.18% | — | — |
| 2026-08-27 | 6.30 | $816.38 | -0.77% | +3.17% | -0.14% | +52.42% | — | — |
| 2026-08-22 | 28.91 | $733.47 | +9.51% | +13.21% | +9.26% | +39.48% | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 | 11.02 | $564.57 | +0.78% | +42.27% | +44.60% | +44.40% | — | — |
| 2026-08-18 | 5.71 | $513.92 | -1.05% | +10.71% | +61.57% | +64.95% | — | — |
| 2026-08-05 | 4.66 | $505.52 | +1.25% | +1.08% | -4.92% | +0.60% | +88.45% | — |
| 2026-08-03 | 6.00 | $489.14 | -1.25% | +4.64% | +4.15% | -0.61% | +69.66% | — |
| 2026-07-27 | 4.66 | $507.81 | -6.20% | -8.00% | -3.68% | +0.32% | +51.24% | — |
| 2026-07-18 | 4.53 | $547.28 | +2.03% | -0.88% | -10.78% | -16.45% | -11.17% | — |
| 2026-07-15 | 13.87 | $564.14 | +1.07% | -2.99% | -5.66% | -17.49% | -13.03% | — |
| 2026-07-13 | 4.86 | $533.30 | -7.10% | +6.92% | +2.72% | -4.78% | -9.87% | — |
| 2026-07-10 | 3.29 | $481.19 | +3.46% | +10.83% | +8.81% | +4.79% | +5.55% | — |
| 2026-07-08 | 6.94 | $483.79 | -3.70% | +2.91% | +16.61% | +10.01% | +3.75% | — |
| 2026-07-02 | 4.35 | $416.70 | +4.20% | +11.12% | +11.80% | +36.83% | +9.73% | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 8.15 | $406.61 | -1.79% | +6.78% | +11.26% | +21.84% | +14.90% | — |
| 2026-06-20 | 4.65 | $476.73 | -1.23% | -7.34% | -12.16% | -3.37% | +14.91% | — |
| 2026-06-15 | 12.40 | $472.50 | +9.73% | +0.92% | -8.14% | -20.43% | +19.39% | +137.40% |
| 2026-06-12 | 4.70 | $427.99 | -3.81% | +10.40% | +6.44% | -2.72% | +18.83% | +190.73% |
| 2026-06-08 | 21.49 | $439.98 | +4.23% | -7.09% | +7.39% | -1.35% | +9.96% | +133.18% |
| 2026-06-03 | 11.95 | $608.64 | +2.02% | -35.92% | -29.50% | -17.07% | -28.66% | +39.28% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-09-29: +169.96%
- 2025-10-05: +86.28%
- 2026-05-01: +63.95%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-11-27: -35.59%
- 2026-06-03: -29.50%
- 2026-01-04: -26.95%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 1 day(s) rises to or above 3%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.