Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 3% One-Day Rise
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 3% one-day rise, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Zcash
77 historical signal(s) detected for Zcash; 41 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (36 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
2 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-13 | 2025-09-20 | $49.8602 | $48.9116 | -1.90% | 98.10 |
| 2025-09-21 | 2025-09-28 | $50.6487 | $55.1005 | +8.79% | 106.72 |
| 2025-09-29 | 2025-10-06 | $61.3850 | $165.7141 | +169.96% | 288.10 |
| 2025-10-09 | 2025-10-16 | $175.5784 | $229.8183 | +30.89% | 377.10 |
| 2025-10-18 | 2025-10-25 | $217.4053 | $270.5618 | +24.45% | 469.30 |
| 2025-10-25 | 2025-11-01 | $270.5618 | $404.7621 | +49.60% | 702.08 |
| 2025-11-01 | 2025-11-08 | $404.7621 | $649.8903 | +60.56% | 1127.27 |
| 2025-11-13 | 2025-11-20 | $505.4800 | $672.6149 | +33.06% | 1499.99 |
| 2025-11-20 | 2025-11-27 | $672.6149 | $526.4443 | -21.73% | 1174.02 |
| 2025-11-27 | 2025-12-04 | $526.4443 | $339.0926 | -35.59% | 756.21 |
| 2025-12-04 | 2025-12-11 | $339.0926 | $404.0058 | +19.14% | 900.97 |
| 2025-12-12 | 2025-12-19 | $451.0450 | $388.0998 | -13.96% | 775.24 |
| 2025-12-19 | 2025-12-26 | $388.0998 | $437.8740 | +12.83% | 874.66 |
| 2025-12-28 | 2026-01-04 | $515.8740 | $511.8273 | -0.78% | 867.80 |
| 2026-01-04 | 2026-01-11 | $511.8273 | $373.8885 | -26.95% | 633.92 |
| 2026-01-13 | 2026-01-20 | $405.9944 | $368.6854 | -9.19% | 575.67 |
| 2026-01-27 | 2026-02-03 | $366.5614 | $294.3372 | -19.70% | 462.24 |
| 2026-02-07 | 2026-02-14 | $240.1038 | $266.6353 | +11.05% | 513.32 |
| 2026-02-14 | 2026-02-21 | $266.6353 | $258.0195 | -3.23% | 496.74 |
| 2026-03-03 | 2026-03-10 | $223.4661 | $213.4260 | -4.49% | 474.42 |
| 2026-03-10 | 2026-03-17 | $213.4260 | $275.8636 | +29.25% | 613.21 |
| 2026-03-24 | 2026-03-31 | $228.3173 | $225.4206 | -1.27% | 605.43 |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-04-07 | $225.4206 | $252.1507 | +11.86% | 677.22 |
| 2026-04-08 | 2026-04-15 | $321.7812 | $355.1249 | +10.36% | 747.39 |
| 2026-04-21 | 2026-04-28 | $312.1316 | $355.3007 | +13.83% | 850.76 |
| 2026-05-01 | 2026-05-08 | $350.4622 | $574.5925 | +63.95% | 1394.85 |
| 2026-05-15 | 2026-05-22 | $560.5630 | $663.5789 | +18.38% | 1651.18 |
| 2026-05-24 | 2026-05-31 | $630.4806 | $528.2022 | -16.22% | 1383.32 |
| 2026-06-01 | 2026-06-08 | $569.4121 | $439.9814 | -22.73% | 1068.89 |
| 2026-06-08 | 2026-06-15 | $439.9814 | $472.5013 | +7.39% | 1147.89 |
| 2026-06-15 | 2026-06-22 | $472.5013 | $434.0413 | -8.14% | 1054.46 |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-07 | $406.6092 | $452.3946 | +11.26% | 1173.19 |
| 2026-07-08 | 2026-07-15 | $483.7924 | $564.1363 | +16.61% | 1368.02 |
| 2026-07-15 | 2026-07-22 | $564.1363 | $532.2180 | -5.66% | 1290.62 |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-08-03 | $507.8147 | $489.1385 | -3.68% | 1243.16 |
| 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-10 | $489.1385 | $509.4391 | +4.15% | 1294.75 |
| 2026-08-18 | 2026-08-25 | $513.9225 | $830.3224 | +61.57% | 2091.87 |
| 2026-08-27 | 2026-09-03 | $816.3760 | $815.2623 | -0.14% | 2089.02 |
| 2026-09-04 | 2026-09-11 | $952.6663 | $1079.8141 | +13.35% | 2367.83 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.