Transparent historical data
What Happens to Zcash After a 3% One-Day Drop?
Zcash has recorded 70 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 1.33% and 51.4% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -29.9% to -22.6% | 2 |
| -22.6% to -15.3% | 4 |
| -15.3% to -8.0% | 6 |
| -8.0% to -0.6% | 23 |
| -0.6% to +6.7% | 17 |
| +6.7% to +14.0% | 11 |
| +14.0% to +21.3% | 4 |
| +21.3% to +28.7% | 4 |
| +28.7% to +36.0% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 72 | 0.42% | 0.03% | 52.8% | 14.44% | -19.55% |
| 3 days | 72 | -0.01% | 1.02% | 50.0% | 35.98% | -29.92% |
| 7 days | 70 | 1.33% | 5.60% | 51.4% | 139.50% | -33.55% |
| 14 days | 69 | 2.30% | 15.83% | 53.6% | 289.97% | -43.79% |
| 30 days | 68 | 7.18% | 39.03% | 57.4% | 402.53% | -48.84% |
| 90 days | 58 | 42.44% | 86.58% | 60.3% | 808.88% | -59.80% |
Historical occurrences
73 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | -4.61 | $1110.06 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-13 | -3.67 | $1121.73 | -5.24% | -1.04% | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-11 | -13.22 | $1079.81 | +7.84% | -1.56% | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-08 | -7.17 | $1139.14 | +3.38% | -5.21% | +2.16% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-26 | -7.50 | $768.01 | +6.30% | +4.34% | +8.05% | +53.34% | — | — |
| 2026-08-12 | -3.03 | $480.66 | +1.89% | +2.53% | +5.80% | +59.78% | +124.65% | — |
| 2026-07-28 | -6.20 | $476.32 | -2.28% | -1.33% | +1.41% | +4.07% | +71.39% | — |
| 2026-07-25 | -3.17 | $488.26 | -0.63% | -2.45% | -6.36% | +4.66% | +74.66% | — |
| 2026-07-23 | -3.21 | $515.12 | -2.12% | -5.81% | -9.31% | -0.64% | +42.39% | — |
| 2026-07-17 | -8.18 | $523.56 | +4.53% | +4.63% | -3.69% | -10.24% | -6.87% | — |
| 2026-07-14 | -7.10 | $495.42 | +13.87% | +5.68% | +9.50% | -3.86% | -1.14% | — |
| 2026-07-09 | -3.70 | $465.88 | +3.29% | +9.17% | +22.39% | +10.57% | +9.69% | — |
| 2026-06-28 | -5.66 | $395.03 | -4.83% | +1.09% | +17.22% | +28.74% | +20.58% | — |
| 2026-06-24 | -5.89 | $415.70 | +0.04% | +0.73% | -3.94% | +16.38% | +21.30% | — |
| 2026-06-22 | -7.82 | $434.04 | +1.77% | -4.19% | -13.38% | +6.42% | +22.62% | — |
| 2026-06-18 | -5.53 | $476.86 | -4.47% | -1.25% | -12.79% | -12.62% | +14.77% | +132.78% |
| 2026-06-13 | -3.81 | $411.70 | +2.11% | +25.94% | +15.80% | +1.71% | +29.54% | +162.28% |
| 2026-06-10 | -6.44 | $429.07 | -4.73% | -4.05% | +17.64% | -3.12% | +12.15% | +165.49% |
| 2026-06-05 | -26.05 | $459.17 | -15.07% | -4.18% | -6.79% | -0.79% | +0.84% | +77.55% |
| 2026-06-02 | -4.52 | $543.67 | +11.95% | -15.54% | -15.65% | -4.63% | -23.35% | +53.81% |
| 2026-05-30 | -3.26 | $529.40 | -0.23% | +2.70% | -26.33% | -22.23% | -28.98% | +53.02% |
| 2026-05-27 | -12.56 | $569.77 | -5.00% | -7.09% | +6.82% | -24.70% | -26.92% | +45.73% |
| 2026-05-23 | -12.21 | $582.58 | +8.22% | +11.85% | -9.13% | -33.06% | -25.50% | -2.34% |
| 2026-05-16 | -8.11 | $515.13 | -0.76% | +9.32% | +13.09% | +2.77% | -8.27% | -4.75% |
| 2026-05-14 | -8.15 | $524.35 | +6.91% | -2.51% | +28.31% | +3.22% | -21.48% | -8.33% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-09-26: +139.50%
- 2025-10-07: +58.96%
- 2026-04-29: +53.86%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-11-25: -33.55%
- 2026-01-29: -32.16%
- 2026-05-30: -26.33%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 1 day(s) falls to or below -3%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.