Transparent historical data
What Happens to Zcash After a 2x Volume Spike?
Zcash has recorded 16 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -0.73% and 50.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -19.5% to -12.2% | 2 |
| -12.2% to -4.8% | 4 |
| -4.8% to +2.5% | 3 |
| +2.5% to +9.9% | 2 |
| +9.9% to +17.2% | 1 |
| +17.2% to +24.6% | 1 |
| +24.6% to +31.9% | 1 |
| +31.9% to +39.3% | 1 |
| +39.3% to +46.6% | 2 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 17 | 0.78% | 2.58% | 58.8% | 27.84% | -13.22% |
| 3 days | 17 | 1.40% | 7.96% | 58.8% | 46.61% | -19.51% |
| 7 days | 16 | -0.73% | 5.39% | 50.0% | 44.60% | -17.24% |
| 14 days | 14 | 8.26% | 14.53% | 50.0% | 87.59% | -25.51% |
| 30 days | 13 | 25.55% | 25.17% | 61.5% | 167.98% | -47.23% |
| 90 days | 13 | 15.61% | 19.35% | 61.5% | 144.28% | -68.26% |
Historical occurrences
17 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | 2.64 | $1244.29 | -13.22% | -9.85% | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-07 | 3.69 | $1227.11 | -7.17% | +1.40% | -13.38% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-04 | 2.80 | $952.67 | +7.39% | +28.81% | +13.35% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 | 2.90 | $564.57 | +0.78% | +42.27% | +44.60% | +44.40% | — | — |
| 2026-06-06 | 4.96 | $389.99 | -7.14% | +17.59% | +5.57% | +22.24% | +18.44% | +144.28% |
| 2026-05-09 | 2.06 | $612.68 | -2.94% | -9.23% | -15.92% | -4.91% | -28.19% | -18.07% |
| 2026-05-05 | 2.27 | $423.11 | +22.16% | +35.80% | +31.44% | +33.09% | +46.75% | +15.61% |
| 2026-04-10 | 2.32 | $367.64 | +2.04% | -1.66% | -7.22% | -6.78% | +61.76% | +26.72% |
| 2026-04-08 | 2.63 | $321.78 | +0.63% | +16.58% | +10.36% | -1.49% | +78.57% | +40.59% |
| 2026-04-01 | 2.02 | $247.43 | +1.82% | -5.33% | +30.05% | +43.53% | +41.64% | +64.34% |
| 2026-03-17 | 2.33 | $275.86 | -1.15% | -14.99% | -17.24% | -18.29% | +25.55% | +71.28% |
| 2026-01-09 | 2.05 | $422.00 | -1.08% | -9.98% | -2.06% | -13.60% | -43.18% | -23.27% |
| 2025-11-15 | 2.28 | $608.20 | +9.54% | +0.89% | -9.95% | -25.51% | -33.51% | -61.69% |
| 2025-11-08 | 4.82 | $649.89 | -8.09% | -19.51% | -6.42% | -15.72% | -47.23% | -68.26% |
| 2025-11-05 | 3.35 | $443.28 | +8.28% | +46.61% | +0.61% | +40.82% | -17.22% | -33.60% |
| 2025-10-27 | 2.18 | $327.51 | +4.18% | +7.03% | +27.55% | +87.59% | +55.82% | +9.57% |
| 2025-10-11 | 14.86 | $229.26 | +27.84% | +8.94% | -5.17% | +18.02% | +167.98% | +84.07% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-08-20: +44.60%
- 2026-05-05: +31.44%
- 2026-04-01: +30.05%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-03-17: -17.24%
- 2026-05-09: -15.92%
- 2026-09-07: -13.38%
How this study works
Daily volume is compared with the median of the preceding 30 complete observations.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.