Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 2x Volume Spike
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 2x volume spike, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Zcash
17 historical signal(s) detected for Zcash; 12 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (5 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $229.2593 | $217.4053 | -5.17% | 94.83 |
| 2025-10-27 | 2025-11-03 | $327.5101 | $417.7495 | +27.55% | 120.96 |
| 2025-11-05 | 2025-11-12 | $443.2769 | $445.9729 | +0.61% | 121.69 |
| 2025-11-15 | 2025-11-22 | $608.1992 | $547.7121 | -9.95% | 109.59 |
| 2026-01-09 | 2026-01-16 | $422.0000 | $413.3106 | -2.06% | 107.33 |
| 2026-03-17 | 2026-03-24 | $275.8636 | $228.3173 | -17.24% | 88.83 |
| 2026-04-01 | 2026-04-08 | $247.4266 | $321.7812 | +30.05% | 115.53 |
| 2026-04-08 | 2026-04-15 | $321.7812 | $355.1249 | +10.36% | 127.50 |
| 2026-05-05 | 2026-05-12 | $423.1110 | $556.1287 | +31.44% | 167.59 |
| 2026-06-06 | 2026-06-13 | $389.9925 | $411.6969 | +5.57% | 176.91 |
| 2026-08-20 | 2026-08-27 | $564.5716 | $816.3760 | +44.60% | 255.82 |
| 2026-09-04 | 2026-09-11 | $952.6663 | $1079.8141 | +13.35% | 289.96 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.