Transparent historical data
What Happens to Zcash After a 15% Seven-Day Drop?
Zcash has recorded 19 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -3.94% and 36.8% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -29.9% to -24.5% | 1 |
| -24.5% to -19.0% | 1 |
| -19.0% to -13.6% | 1 |
| -13.6% to -8.1% | 2 |
| -8.1% to -2.7% | 3 |
| -2.7% to +2.8% | 6 |
| +2.8% to +8.2% | 1 |
| +8.2% to +13.7% | 2 |
| +13.7% to +19.1% | 2 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 19 | 0.80% | -0.34% | 63.2% | 11.95% | -19.55% |
| 3 days | 19 | -1.67% | -2.24% | 47.4% | 19.12% | -29.92% |
| 7 days | 19 | -3.94% | -2.74% | 36.8% | 24.59% | -31.44% |
| 14 days | 19 | -4.02% | 1.17% | 36.8% | 86.26% | -34.16% |
| 30 days | 19 | -11.75% | 6.05% | 36.8% | 177.67% | -43.18% |
| 90 days | 17 | 41.89% | 40.68% | 70.6% | 150.36% | -50.29% |
Historical occurrences
19 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | -16.11 | $395.03 | -4.83% | +1.09% | +17.22% | +28.74% | +20.58% | — |
| 2026-06-24 | -17.64 | $415.70 | +0.04% | +0.73% | -3.94% | +16.38% | +21.30% | — |
| 2026-06-05 | -16.10 | $459.17 | -15.07% | -4.18% | -6.79% | -0.79% | +0.84% | +77.55% |
| 2026-06-02 | -16.57 | $543.67 | +11.95% | -15.54% | -15.65% | -4.63% | -23.35% | +53.81% |
| 2026-05-31 | -16.22 | $528.20 | +7.80% | +15.23% | -31.44% | -20.41% | -23.02% | +51.72% |
| 2026-05-28 | -19.55 | $541.26 | +1.11% | -2.41% | +14.72% | -24.48% | -22.64% | +41.89% |
| 2026-05-16 | -15.92 | $515.13 | -0.76% | +9.32% | +13.09% | +2.77% | -8.27% | -4.75% |
| 2026-04-20 | -16.62 | $301.44 | +3.55% | +5.03% | +17.82% | +36.99% | +90.29% | +85.25% |
| 2026-03-24 | -17.24 | $228.32 | +5.90% | -2.99% | -1.27% | +10.44% | +38.66% | +90.10% |
| 2026-02-28 | -15.28 | $218.59 | +0.80% | +2.23% | -4.13% | -4.97% | -1.80% | +150.36% |
| 2026-02-22 | -19.90 | $258.72 | -10.30% | -6.34% | -14.84% | -23.81% | -11.75% | +125.18% |
| 2026-02-03 | -19.70 | $294.34 | -8.01% | -29.92% | -18.33% | -0.24% | -17.35% | +40.29% |
| 2026-02-01 | -15.62 | $302.82 | +0.79% | -10.59% | -20.81% | +6.66% | -26.21% | +27.10% |
| 2026-01-22 | -20.52 | $355.03 | +2.70% | +1.08% | +4.28% | -29.26% | -27.32% | -10.72% |
| 2026-01-11 | -26.95 | $373.89 | +1.61% | +8.24% | +6.94% | -4.02% | -35.71% | +0.33% |
| 2026-01-09 | -19.65 | $422.00 | -1.08% | -9.98% | -2.06% | -13.60% | -43.18% | -23.27% |
| 2025-12-01 | -25.10 | $428.76 | -19.55% | -20.91% | -20.02% | -5.68% | +23.13% | -48.61% |
| 2025-11-23 | -22.09 | $519.01 | +10.30% | -1.67% | -11.36% | -34.16% | -16.87% | -50.29% |
| 2025-10-19 | -24.60 | $220.99 | +6.58% | +19.12% | +24.59% | +86.26% | +177.67% | +85.62% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-10-19: +24.59%
- 2026-04-20: +17.82%
- 2026-06-28: +17.22%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-05-31: -31.44%
- 2026-02-01: -20.81%
- 2025-12-01: -20.02%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 7 day(s) falls to or below -15%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.