Transparent historical data
What Happens to Zcash After a 10% One-Day Rise?
Zcash has recorded 37 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 1.96% and 54.1% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 14-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -40.1% to +0.5% | 16 |
| +0.5% to +41.2% | 10 |
| +41.2% to +81.8% | 4 |
| +81.8% to +122.5% | 2 |
| +122.5% to +163.1% | 2 |
| +163.1% to +203.7% | 0 |
| +203.7% to +244.4% | 0 |
| +244.4% to +285.0% | 0 |
| +285.0% to +325.7% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 37 | 2.04% | 3.78% | 73.0% | 22.08% | -10.85% |
| 3 days | 37 | 1.40% | 7.56% | 59.5% | 95.74% | -35.92% |
| 7 days | 37 | 1.96% | 12.92% | 54.1% | 169.96% | -29.50% |
| 14 days | 35 | 4.15% | 25.58% | 54.3% | 325.65% | -40.10% |
| 30 days | 33 | 5.93% | 52.13% | 51.5% | 414.73% | -40.31% |
| 90 days | 32 | 30.74% | 82.66% | 59.4% | 740.39% | -61.69% |
Historical occurrences
37 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | 19.61 | $1227.11 | -7.17% | +1.40% | -13.38% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-04 | 16.85 | $952.67 | +7.39% | +28.81% | +13.35% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-22 | 28.91 | $733.47 | +9.51% | +13.21% | +9.26% | +39.48% | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 | 11.02 | $564.57 | +0.78% | +42.27% | +44.60% | +44.40% | — | — |
| 2026-07-15 | 13.87 | $564.14 | +1.07% | -2.99% | -5.66% | -17.49% | -13.03% | — |
| 2026-06-15 | 12.40 | $472.50 | +9.73% | +0.92% | -8.14% | -20.43% | +19.39% | +137.40% |
| 2026-06-08 | 21.49 | $439.98 | +4.23% | -7.09% | +7.39% | -1.35% | +9.96% | +133.18% |
| 2026-06-03 | 11.95 | $608.64 | +2.02% | -35.92% | -29.50% | -17.07% | -28.66% | +39.28% |
| 2026-05-21 | 17.30 | $672.82 | -1.37% | -6.29% | -19.55% | -7.71% | -29.14% | -24.42% |
| 2026-05-06 | 22.16 | $516.86 | +7.31% | +18.54% | +10.45% | +10.98% | -11.16% | -6.55% |
| 2026-04-10 | 13.54 | $367.64 | +2.04% | -1.66% | -7.22% | -6.78% | +61.76% | +26.72% |
| 2026-04-08 | 27.61 | $321.78 | +0.63% | +16.58% | +10.36% | -1.49% | +78.57% | +40.59% |
| 2026-03-17 | 19.64 | $275.86 | -1.15% | -14.99% | -17.24% | -18.29% | +25.55% | +71.28% |
| 2026-03-05 | 10.28 | $243.26 | -7.07% | -18.97% | -12.58% | +2.16% | -3.71% | +150.20% |
| 2026-02-14 | 14.44 | $266.64 | +21.14% | +10.12% | -3.23% | -18.02% | -13.52% | +110.24% |
| 2026-02-07 | 16.41 | $240.10 | -0.13% | +0.11% | +11.05% | +7.46% | -17.76% | +139.31% |
| 2026-01-27 | 11.75 | $366.56 | +8.54% | -3.70% | -19.70% | -34.42% | -33.57% | -3.12% |
| 2026-01-15 | 10.37 | $446.69 | -7.47% | -10.49% | -20.52% | -17.12% | -40.31% | -20.50% |
| 2025-12-28 | 15.21 | $515.87 | +2.63% | +2.34% | -0.78% | -27.52% | -28.94% | -58.21% |
| 2025-12-20 | 14.51 | $444.39 | +0.57% | -2.92% | +0.76% | +9.94% | -17.69% | -47.23% |
| 2025-12-12 | 11.64 | $451.05 | +1.11% | -10.34% | -13.96% | -2.92% | -17.11% | -52.85% |
| 2025-12-09 | 18.14 | $405.13 | +6.92% | +11.33% | +1.96% | +6.49% | +15.84% | -51.26% |
| 2025-11-24 | 10.30 | $572.46 | -9.33% | -8.04% | -25.10% | -40.10% | -27.09% | -54.81% |
| 2025-11-15 | 17.46 | $608.20 | +9.54% | +0.89% | -9.95% | -25.51% | -33.51% | -61.69% |
| 2025-11-13 | 13.34 | $505.48 | +2.44% | +31.80% | +33.06% | +4.15% | -9.78% | -53.74% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-09-29: +169.96%
- 2025-10-05: +86.28%
- 2025-11-01: +60.56%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-06-03: -29.50%
- 2025-11-24: -25.10%
- 2025-10-12: -24.60%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 1 day(s) rises to or above 10%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.