Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 10% One-Day Rise
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 10% one-day rise, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Zcash
37 historical signal(s) detected for Zcash; 25 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (12 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-24 | 2025-10-01 | $54.9860 | $74.1061 | +34.77% | 134.77 |
| 2025-10-02 | 2025-10-09 | $120.1539 | $175.5784 | +46.13% | 196.94 |
| 2025-10-09 | 2025-10-16 | $175.5784 | $229.8183 | +30.89% | 257.78 |
| 2025-10-21 | 2025-10-28 | $268.6339 | $341.2027 | +27.01% | 327.42 |
| 2025-10-30 | 2025-11-06 | $350.5504 | $479.9683 | +36.92% | 448.29 |
| 2025-11-07 | 2025-11-14 | $532.3391 | $517.8020 | -2.73% | 436.05 |
| 2025-11-15 | 2025-11-22 | $608.1992 | $547.7121 | -9.95% | 392.69 |
| 2025-11-24 | 2025-12-01 | $572.4570 | $428.7592 | -25.10% | 294.11 |
| 2025-12-09 | 2025-12-16 | $405.1287 | $413.0815 | +1.96% | 299.89 |
| 2025-12-20 | 2025-12-27 | $444.3941 | $447.7749 | +0.76% | 302.17 |
| 2025-12-28 | 2026-01-04 | $515.8740 | $511.8273 | -0.78% | 299.80 |
| 2026-01-15 | 2026-01-22 | $446.6909 | $355.0290 | -20.52% | 238.28 |
| 2026-01-27 | 2026-02-03 | $366.5614 | $294.3372 | -19.70% | 191.33 |
| 2026-02-07 | 2026-02-14 | $240.1038 | $266.6353 | +11.05% | 212.47 |
| 2026-02-14 | 2026-02-21 | $266.6353 | $258.0195 | -3.23% | 205.61 |
| 2026-03-05 | 2026-03-12 | $243.2615 | $212.6606 | -12.58% | 179.74 |
| 2026-03-17 | 2026-03-24 | $275.8636 | $228.3173 | -17.24% | 148.76 |
| 2026-04-08 | 2026-04-15 | $321.7812 | $355.1249 | +10.36% | 164.18 |
| 2026-05-06 | 2026-05-13 | $516.8631 | $570.8611 | +10.45% | 181.33 |
| 2026-05-21 | 2026-05-28 | $672.8192 | $541.2592 | -19.55% | 145.87 |
| 2026-06-03 | 2026-06-10 | $608.6417 | $429.0663 | -29.50% | 102.83 |
| 2026-06-15 | 2026-06-22 | $472.5013 | $434.0413 | -8.14% | 94.46 |
| 2026-07-15 | 2026-07-22 | $564.1363 | $532.2180 | -5.66% | 89.12 |
| 2026-08-20 | 2026-08-27 | $564.5716 | $816.3760 | +44.60% | 128.87 |
| 2026-09-04 | 2026-09-11 | $952.6663 | $1079.8141 | +13.35% | 146.07 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.