Transparent historical data
What Happens to Zcash After a 10% One-Day Drop?
Zcash has recorded 16 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -4.42% and 43.8% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 30-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -43.2% to -3.2% | 10 |
| -3.2% to +36.7% | 2 |
| +36.7% to +76.6% | 2 |
| +76.6% to +116.6% | 0 |
| +116.6% to +156.5% | 0 |
| +156.5% to +196.5% | 0 |
| +196.5% to +236.4% | 1 |
| +236.4% to +276.3% | 0 |
| +276.3% to +316.3% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 17 | 0.79% | 1.61% | 52.9% | 37.30% | -15.07% |
| 3 days | 17 | -1.01% | 5.62% | 47.1% | 79.27% | -12.04% |
| 7 days | 16 | -4.42% | 4.83% | 43.8% | 93.91% | -20.81% |
| 14 days | 16 | -2.40% | 4.69% | 37.5% | 105.85% | -43.79% |
| 30 days | 16 | -15.06% | 25.78% | 37.5% | 316.28% | -43.18% |
| 90 days | 16 | 35.10% | 52.65% | 62.5% | 293.61% | -54.34% |
Historical occurrences
17 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | -13.22 | $1079.81 | +7.84% | -1.56% | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-06-05 | -26.05 | $459.17 | -15.07% | -4.18% | -6.79% | -0.79% | +0.84% | +77.55% |
| 2026-05-27 | -12.56 | $569.77 | -5.00% | -7.09% | +6.82% | -24.70% | -26.92% | +45.73% |
| 2026-05-23 | -12.21 | $582.58 | +8.22% | +11.85% | -9.13% | -33.06% | -25.50% | -2.34% |
| 2026-02-23 | -10.30 | $232.07 | +2.37% | +4.93% | -8.13% | -14.91% | +4.18% | +171.67% |
| 2026-02-19 | -11.06 | $263.13 | -0.62% | -1.68% | -7.46% | -7.55% | -10.73% | +117.99% |
| 2026-02-06 | -17.87 | $206.27 | +16.41% | +15.79% | +12.95% | +26.78% | -4.43% | +168.90% |
| 2026-02-01 | -10.96 | $302.82 | +0.79% | -10.59% | -20.81% | +6.66% | -26.21% | +27.10% |
| 2026-01-11 | -10.43 | $373.89 | +1.61% | +8.24% | +6.94% | -4.02% | -35.71% | +0.33% |
| 2026-01-09 | -10.08 | $422.00 | -1.08% | -9.98% | -2.06% | -13.60% | -43.18% | -23.27% |
| 2025-12-02 | -19.55 | $344.93 | -8.95% | +6.39% | +17.45% | +19.76% | +48.18% | -38.19% |
| 2025-11-22 | -16.73 | $547.71 | -5.24% | -5.23% | -17.28% | -34.28% | -19.39% | -52.26% |
| 2025-11-18 | -12.00 | $613.61 | +1.73% | +7.20% | -15.41% | -43.79% | -38.62% | -51.56% |
| 2025-11-11 | -14.86 | $523.08 | -14.74% | -1.01% | +17.31% | -0.77% | -22.76% | -54.34% |
| 2025-10-17 | -11.00 | $204.53 | +6.29% | +15.16% | +18.86% | +68.14% | +225.72% | +118.40% |
| 2025-10-13 | -10.85 | $261.29 | -4.41% | -12.04% | -9.85% | +25.35% | +70.68% | +43.10% |
| 2025-10-08 | -18.61 | $127.88 | +37.30% | +79.27% | +93.91% | +105.85% | +316.28% | +293.61% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-10-08: +93.91%
- 2025-10-17: +18.86%
- 2025-12-02: +17.45%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-02-01: -20.81%
- 2025-11-22: -17.28%
- 2025-11-18: -15.41%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 1 day(s) falls to or below -10%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.