Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 10% One-Day Drop
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 10% one-day drop, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Zcash
17 historical signal(s) detected for Zcash; 11 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (6 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-08 | 2025-10-15 | $127.8815 | $247.9710 | +93.91% | 193.91 |
| 2025-10-17 | 2025-10-24 | $204.5334 | $243.1103 | +18.86% | 230.48 |
| 2025-11-11 | 2025-11-18 | $523.0839 | $613.6129 | +17.31% | 270.37 |
| 2025-11-18 | 2025-11-25 | $613.6129 | $519.0731 | -15.41% | 228.71 |
| 2025-12-02 | 2025-12-09 | $344.9288 | $405.1287 | +17.45% | 268.63 |
| 2026-01-09 | 2026-01-16 | $422.0000 | $413.3106 | -2.06% | 263.10 |
| 2026-02-01 | 2026-02-08 | $302.8211 | $239.7914 | -20.81% | 208.34 |
| 2026-02-19 | 2026-02-26 | $263.1292 | $243.5030 | -7.46% | 192.80 |
| 2026-05-23 | 2026-05-30 | $582.5787 | $529.3962 | -9.13% | 175.20 |
| 2026-06-05 | 2026-06-12 | $459.1723 | $427.9931 | -6.79% | 163.30 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.