Transparent historical data
What Happens to Zcash After a 1.5x Volume Spike?
Zcash has recorded 20 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 7.22% and 60.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -35.9% to -26.8% | 1 |
| -26.8% to -17.6% | 0 |
| -17.6% to -8.4% | 2 |
| -8.4% to +0.8% | 8 |
| +0.8% to +9.9% | 6 |
| +9.9% to +19.1% | 1 |
| +19.1% to +28.3% | 0 |
| +28.3% to +37.4% | 0 |
| +37.4% to +46.6% | 2 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 20 | 0.68% | 1.00% | 55.0% | 27.84% | -15.07% |
| 3 days | 20 | -0.54% | 2.37% | 50.0% | 46.61% | -35.92% |
| 7 days | 20 | 7.22% | 9.89% | 60.0% | 60.56% | -29.50% |
| 14 days | 19 | 7.46% | 21.27% | 57.9% | 87.59% | -18.29% |
| 30 days | 18 | 17.75% | 30.74% | 66.7% | 167.98% | -43.18% |
| 90 days | 18 | 40.14% | 39.11% | 72.2% | 139.31% | -33.60% |
Historical occurrences
20 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | 3.69 | $1227.11 | -7.17% | +1.40% | -13.38% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 | 2.90 | $564.57 | +0.78% | +42.27% | +44.60% | +44.40% | — | — |
| 2026-06-08 | 1.83 | $439.98 | +4.23% | -7.09% | +7.39% | -1.35% | +9.96% | +133.18% |
| 2026-06-05 | 1.63 | $459.17 | -15.07% | -4.18% | -6.79% | -0.79% | +0.84% | +77.55% |
| 2026-06-03 | 1.73 | $608.64 | +2.02% | -35.92% | -29.50% | -17.07% | -28.66% | +39.28% |
| 2026-05-21 | 1.86 | $672.82 | -1.37% | -6.29% | -19.55% | -7.71% | -29.14% | -24.42% |
| 2026-05-14 | 1.73 | $524.35 | +6.91% | -2.51% | +28.31% | +3.22% | -21.48% | -8.33% |
| 2026-05-02 | 1.92 | $384.90 | +0.73% | +9.93% | +59.18% | +33.83% | +47.94% | +22.10% |
| 2026-04-25 | 1.67 | $359.57 | -0.19% | -1.19% | +7.04% | +70.39% | +84.34% | +40.23% |
| 2026-04-14 | 1.78 | $368.43 | -3.61% | -7.42% | -15.28% | -3.56% | +42.32% | +44.75% |
| 2026-04-08 | 2.63 | $321.78 | +0.63% | +16.58% | +10.36% | -1.49% | +78.57% | +40.59% |
| 2026-04-01 | 2.02 | $247.43 | +1.82% | -5.33% | +30.05% | +43.53% | +41.64% | +64.34% |
| 2026-03-17 | 2.33 | $275.86 | -1.15% | -14.99% | -17.24% | -18.29% | +25.55% | +71.28% |
| 2026-02-07 | 1.59 | $240.10 | -0.13% | +0.11% | +11.05% | +7.46% | -17.76% | +139.31% |
| 2026-01-09 | 2.05 | $422.00 | -1.08% | -9.98% | -2.06% | -13.60% | -43.18% | -23.27% |
| 2025-11-05 | 3.35 | $443.28 | +8.28% | +46.61% | +0.61% | +40.82% | -17.22% | -33.60% |
| 2025-11-01 | 1.95 | $404.76 | +1.69% | +6.73% | +60.56% | +50.26% | +5.93% | -12.79% |
| 2025-10-27 | 2.18 | $327.51 | +4.18% | +7.03% | +27.55% | +87.59% | +55.82% | +9.57% |
| 2025-10-22 | 1.60 | $263.25 | -9.41% | +2.78% | +20.02% | +68.39% | +149.87% | +40.05% |
| 2025-10-11 | 14.86 | $229.26 | +27.84% | +8.94% | -5.17% | +18.02% | +167.98% | +84.07% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-11-01: +60.56%
- 2026-05-02: +59.18%
- 2026-08-20: +44.60%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-06-03: -29.50%
- 2026-05-21: -19.55%
- 2026-03-17: -17.24%
How this study works
Daily volume is compared with the median of the preceding 30 complete observations.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.