Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 1.5x Volume Spike
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 1.5x volume spike, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Zcash
20 historical signal(s) detected for Zcash; 15 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (5 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $229.2593 | $217.4053 | -5.17% | 94.83 |
| 2025-10-22 | 2025-10-29 | $263.2490 | $315.9646 | +20.02% | 113.82 |
| 2025-11-01 | 2025-11-08 | $404.7621 | $649.8903 | +60.56% | 182.75 |
| 2026-01-09 | 2026-01-16 | $422.0000 | $413.3106 | -2.06% | 178.99 |
| 2026-02-07 | 2026-02-14 | $240.1038 | $266.6353 | +11.05% | 198.76 |
| 2026-03-17 | 2026-03-24 | $275.8636 | $228.3173 | -17.24% | 164.51 |
| 2026-04-01 | 2026-04-08 | $247.4266 | $321.7812 | +30.05% | 213.94 |
| 2026-04-08 | 2026-04-15 | $321.7812 | $355.1249 | +10.36% | 236.11 |
| 2026-04-25 | 2026-05-02 | $359.5718 | $384.8990 | +7.04% | 252.74 |
| 2026-05-02 | 2026-05-09 | $384.8990 | $612.6839 | +59.18% | 402.32 |
| 2026-05-14 | 2026-05-21 | $524.3497 | $672.8192 | +28.31% | 516.23 |
| 2026-05-21 | 2026-05-28 | $672.8192 | $541.2592 | -19.55% | 415.29 |
| 2026-06-03 | 2026-06-10 | $608.6417 | $429.0663 | -29.50% | 292.76 |
| 2026-08-20 | 2026-08-27 | $564.5716 | $816.3760 | +44.60% | 423.34 |
| 2026-09-07 | 2026-09-14 | $1227.1109 | $1062.9597 | -13.38% | 366.71 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.