Transparent historical data
What Happens to XRP After Negative Funding?
XRP has recorded 47 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -2.81% and 27.7% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Binance USDⓈ-M Futures and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -17.0% to -13.5% | 2 |
| -13.5% to -10.1% | 0 |
| -10.1% to -6.6% | 5 |
| -6.6% to -3.2% | 12 |
| -3.2% to +0.3% | 12 |
| +0.3% to +3.7% | 9 |
| +3.7% to +7.2% | 1 |
| +7.2% to +10.7% | 5 |
| +10.7% to +14.1% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 47 | -0.19% | -0.36% | 46.8% | 3.85% | -8.63% |
| 3 days | 47 | -1.84% | -1.33% | 34.0% | 14.13% | -17.01% |
| 7 days | 47 | -2.81% | -1.73% | 27.7% | 45.63% | -21.14% |
| 14 days | 45 | -4.93% | -3.18% | 31.1% | 46.39% | -37.37% |
| 30 days | 43 | -7.21% | -5.34% | 30.2% | 39.33% | -47.31% |
| 90 days | 31 | -28.14% | -26.73% | 3.2% | 3.26% | -42.62% |
Historical occurrences
47 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | -0.00 | $1.42 | -1.59% | -4.34% | -9.45% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-05 | -0.00 | $1.40 | +0.97% | -0.19% | -3.07% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-30 | -0.00 | $1.40 | -2.75% | -3.21% | +1.14% | -2.15% | — | — |
| 2026-08-27 | -0.00 | $1.42 | +2.19% | -1.84% | -5.07% | -1.95% | — | — |
| 2026-08-15 | -0.02 | $1.00 | +0.32% | +0.38% | +45.63% | +38.53% | +34.34% | — |
| 2026-08-11 | -0.00 | $1.01 | +1.04% | -0.29% | -0.88% | +46.39% | +37.92% | — |
| 2026-08-05 | -0.00 | $1.07 | -1.09% | -4.88% | -4.77% | -6.70% | +35.26% | — |
| 2026-08-02 | -0.00 | $1.06 | +2.42% | +1.24% | -1.98% | -5.48% | +30.13% | — |
| 2026-07-25 | -0.00 | $1.09 | +0.56% | -2.40% | -2.81% | -6.48% | +39.33% | — |
| 2026-07-23 | -0.00 | $1.14 | -3.00% | -3.86% | -6.03% | -7.02% | +27.41% | — |
| 2026-07-16 | -0.00 | $1.11 | -2.37% | -1.84% | +2.58% | -3.60% | -10.25% | — |
| 2026-07-12 | -0.00 | $1.10 | -0.98% | +1.36% | -0.36% | +0.11% | -7.75% | — |
| 2026-07-10 | -0.00 | $1.09 | +1.03% | -0.66% | -0.58% | +1.33% | -4.92% | — |
| 2026-07-06 | -0.00 | $1.16 | -1.06% | -5.73% | -6.13% | -5.16% | -7.21% | — |
| 2026-07-04 | -0.00 | $1.13 | +1.97% | +0.88% | -2.66% | -4.02% | -4.28% | — |
| 2026-07-02 | -0.00 | $1.05 | +3.43% | +10.05% | +3.74% | +5.89% | +0.93% | — |
| 2026-05-31 | -0.00 | $1.34 | -0.62% | -9.67% | -18.42% | -14.15% | -21.27% | +3.26% |
| 2026-05-11 | -0.00 | $1.47 | +0.18% | -3.17% | -4.92% | -8.44% | -22.84% | -29.48% |
| 2026-04-23 | -0.00 | $1.43 | +0.65% | -0.27% | -4.16% | -0.05% | -6.84% | -20.12% |
| 2026-04-19 | -0.00 | $1.43 | -2.69% | -0.03% | -0.55% | -2.78% | -3.15% | -24.11% |
| 2026-04-15 | -0.00 | $1.36 | +2.11% | +8.31% | +5.14% | +1.42% | +8.72% | -21.79% |
| 2026-04-11 | -0.00 | $1.36 | -0.08% | +1.44% | +8.91% | +5.90% | +8.64% | -19.42% |
| 2026-04-09 | -0.01 | $1.34 | +0.16% | +0.91% | +3.70% | +6.51% | +5.80% | -17.19% |
| 2026-04-02 | -0.01 | $1.35 | -1.97% | -2.29% | -0.42% | +3.26% | +2.87% | -23.01% |
| 2026-03-17 | -0.00 | $1.54 | -1.10% | -5.44% | -6.62% | -14.07% | -9.55% | -22.97% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-08-15: +45.63%
- 2026-01-01: +17.63%
- 2025-12-29: +12.39%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-01-29: -21.14%
- 2026-05-31: -18.42%
- 2025-10-28: -12.36%
How this study works
Each Binance funding rate is normalized to an eight-hour equivalent. An episode begins when that rate is below 0%. Consecutive qualifying funding intervals are grouped, and returns begin from the exact UTC date of the first qualifying interval.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.