Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After Negative Funding
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after negative funding, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for XRP
47 historical signal(s) detected for XRP; 24 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (23 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-15 | 2025-09-22 | $3.0299 | $2.9715 | -1.93% | 98.07 |
| 2025-10-08 | 2025-10-15 | $2.8557 | $2.5051 | -12.28% | 86.03 |
| 2025-10-18 | 2025-10-25 | $2.2959 | $2.5083 | +9.25% | 93.99 |
| 2025-10-28 | 2025-11-04 | $2.6339 | $2.3085 | -12.36% | 82.38 |
| 2025-11-09 | 2025-11-16 | $2.2847 | $2.2301 | -2.39% | 80.41 |
| 2025-11-18 | 2025-11-25 | $2.1613 | $2.2261 | +3.00% | 82.82 |
| 2025-12-05 | 2025-12-12 | $2.0968 | $2.0337 | -3.01% | 80.33 |
| 2025-12-29 | 2026-01-05 | $1.8642 | $2.0953 | +12.39% | 90.28 |
| 2026-01-07 | 2026-01-14 | $2.3027 | $2.1692 | -5.80% | 85.05 |
| 2026-01-15 | 2026-01-22 | $2.1421 | $1.9553 | -8.72% | 77.63 |
| 2026-01-23 | 2026-01-30 | $1.9374 | $1.8159 | -6.27% | 72.76 |
| 2026-03-17 | 2026-03-24 | $1.5395 | $1.4376 | -6.62% | 67.95 |
| 2026-04-02 | 2026-04-09 | $1.3484 | $1.3428 | -0.42% | 67.66 |
| 2026-04-09 | 2026-04-16 | $1.3428 | $1.3924 | +3.70% | 70.16 |
| 2026-04-19 | 2026-04-26 | $1.4342 | $1.4264 | -0.55% | 69.78 |
| 2026-05-11 | 2026-05-18 | $1.4733 | $1.4008 | -4.92% | 66.34 |
| 2026-05-31 | 2026-06-07 | $1.3398 | $1.0930 | -18.42% | 54.12 |
| 2026-07-02 | 2026-07-09 | $1.0509 | $1.0902 | +3.74% | 56.15 |
| 2026-07-10 | 2026-07-17 | $1.0927 | $1.0864 | -0.58% | 55.82 |
| 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-30 | $1.1414 | $1.0726 | -6.03% | 52.46 |
| 2026-08-02 | 2026-08-09 | $1.0599 | $1.0389 | -1.98% | 51.42 |
| 2026-08-11 | 2026-08-18 | $1.0113 | $1.0024 | -0.88% | 50.97 |
| 2026-08-27 | 2026-09-03 | $1.4225 | $1.3504 | -5.07% | 48.38 |
| 2026-09-05 | 2026-09-12 | $1.3987 | $1.3558 | -3.07% | 46.90 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.