Transparent historical data
What Happens to XRP After Funding Rises to +0.01%?
XRP has recorded 40 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -3.11% and 32.5% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Binance USDⓈ-M Futures and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 14-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -18.3% to -11.8% | 8 |
| -11.8% to -5.2% | 12 |
| -5.2% to +1.4% | 9 |
| +1.4% to +8.0% | 5 |
| +8.0% to +14.6% | 2 |
| +14.6% to +21.1% | 0 |
| +21.1% to +27.7% | 1 |
| +27.7% to +34.3% | 0 |
| +34.3% to +40.9% | 2 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 41 | -0.15% | 0.43% | 41.5% | 14.75% | -5.06% |
| 3 days | 40 | -1.62% | -0.42% | 40.0% | 32.45% | -17.21% |
| 7 days | 40 | -3.11% | -1.65% | 32.5% | 28.71% | -16.23% |
| 14 days | 39 | -5.48% | -2.67% | 30.8% | 40.89% | -18.34% |
| 30 days | 37 | -8.10% | -4.88% | 32.4% | 36.10% | -36.53% |
| 90 days | 31 | -29.32% | -26.49% | 3.2% | 4.87% | -47.66% |
Historical occurrences
41 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | 0.01 | $1.34 | +6.08% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-09 | 0.01 | $1.42 | -1.59% | -4.34% | -9.45% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-02 | 0.01 | $1.35 | -0.08% | +3.49% | +4.87% | -5.05% | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 | 0.01 | $1.11 | +14.75% | +32.45% | +28.71% | +22.19% | — | — |
| 2026-08-12 | 0.01 | $1.02 | -1.69% | -2.27% | -2.02% | +40.35% | +30.56% | — |
| 2026-08-09 | 0.01 | $1.04 | -0.95% | -1.65% | -3.57% | +40.89% | +34.38% | — |
| 2026-08-04 | 0.01 | $1.07 | -0.15% | -3.79% | -5.89% | -6.72% | +25.66% | — |
| 2026-08-02 | 0.01 | $1.06 | +2.42% | +1.24% | -1.98% | -5.48% | +30.13% | — |
| 2026-07-29 | 0.01 | $1.07 | +0.43% | -0.69% | +0.47% | -4.33% | +36.10% | — |
| 2026-07-22 | 0.01 | $1.14 | -0.09% | -4.48% | -6.51% | -6.08% | +11.01% | — |
| 2026-06-01 | 0.01 | $1.33 | -2.71% | -9.89% | -13.27% | -10.95% | -22.04% | +4.87% |
| 2026-05-13 | 0.01 | $1.44 | -0.65% | -0.19% | -5.37% | -7.61% | -20.53% | -29.57% |
| 2026-05-11 | 0.01 | $1.47 | +0.18% | -3.17% | -4.92% | -8.44% | -22.84% | -29.48% |
| 2026-04-16 | 0.01 | $1.39 | +4.39% | +3.00% | +2.71% | -1.57% | +2.92% | -20.20% |
| 2026-04-14 | 0.01 | $1.38 | -0.88% | +5.66% | +3.60% | +2.06% | +3.70% | -21.10% |
| 2026-04-08 | 0.01 | $1.38 | -2.84% | -1.87% | -1.33% | +3.75% | +0.72% | -17.21% |
| 2026-03-19 | 0.01 | $1.47 | -0.72% | -3.63% | -2.93% | -8.04% | +0.73% | -17.04% |
| 2026-03-16 | 0.01 | $1.46 | +5.57% | +0.55% | -4.06% | -8.94% | -6.49% | -21.13% |
| 2026-03-13 | 0.01 | $1.40 | -0.01% | +4.24% | +4.06% | -2.20% | -3.14% | -21.59% |
| 2026-03-05 | 0.01 | $1.44 | -1.83% | -2.75% | -3.55% | +2.12% | -8.10% | -15.71% |
| 2026-02-26 | 0.01 | $1.44 | -1.76% | -3.47% | -0.15% | -3.70% | -7.85% | -7.75% |
| 2026-01-20 | 0.01 | $1.99 | -4.68% | -2.67% | -4.06% | -18.34% | -27.61% | -29.89% |
| 2026-01-14 | 0.01 | $2.17 | -1.25% | -4.38% | -12.52% | -11.23% | -36.53% | -36.58% |
| 2026-01-06 | 0.01 | $2.35 | -2.17% | -9.69% | -12.46% | -15.43% | -35.51% | -43.18% |
| 2026-01-02 | 0.01 | $1.88 | +6.84% | +11.44% | +13.05% | +11.04% | -11.97% | -28.28% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-08-20: +28.71%
- 2026-01-02: +13.05%
- 2025-09-27: +9.39%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-10-09: -16.23%
- 2026-06-01: -13.27%
- 2025-10-07: -12.82%
How this study works
Each Binance funding rate is normalized to an eight-hour equivalent. An episode begins when that rate is at or above 0.01%. Consecutive qualifying funding intervals are grouped, and returns begin from the exact UTC date of the first qualifying interval.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.