Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After Funding Rises to +0.01%
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after funding rises to +0.01%, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for XRP
41 historical signal(s) detected for XRP; 25 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (16 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-10 | 2025-09-17 | $2.9471 | $3.0380 | +3.08% | 103.08 |
| 2025-09-18 | 2025-09-25 | $3.0842 | $2.9279 | -5.07% | 97.86 |
| 2025-09-27 | 2025-10-04 | $2.7810 | $3.0420 | +9.39% | 107.05 |
| 2025-10-07 | 2025-10-14 | $2.9905 | $2.6073 | -12.82% | 93.33 |
| 2025-10-14 | 2025-10-21 | $2.6073 | $2.4946 | -4.32% | 89.29 |
| 2025-10-26 | 2025-11-02 | $2.5953 | $2.5047 | -3.49% | 86.18 |
| 2025-11-08 | 2025-11-15 | $2.3182 | $2.2436 | -3.22% | 83.40 |
| 2025-11-20 | 2025-11-27 | $2.1059 | $2.2234 | +5.58% | 88.06 |
| 2025-12-03 | 2025-12-10 | $2.1544 | $2.1076 | -2.17% | 86.15 |
| 2025-12-28 | 2026-01-04 | $1.8729 | $2.0177 | +7.73% | 92.80 |
| 2026-01-06 | 2026-01-13 | $2.3538 | $2.0605 | -12.46% | 81.24 |
| 2026-01-14 | 2026-01-21 | $2.1692 | $1.8975 | -12.52% | 71.07 |
| 2026-02-26 | 2026-03-05 | $1.4380 | $1.4358 | -0.15% | 70.96 |
| 2026-03-05 | 2026-03-12 | $1.4358 | $1.3847 | -3.55% | 68.44 |
| 2026-03-13 | 2026-03-20 | $1.3989 | $1.4557 | +4.06% | 71.22 |
| 2026-04-08 | 2026-04-15 | $1.3820 | $1.3636 | -1.33% | 70.27 |
| 2026-04-16 | 2026-04-23 | $1.3924 | $1.4302 | +2.71% | 72.17 |
| 2026-05-11 | 2026-05-18 | $1.4733 | $1.4008 | -4.92% | 68.62 |
| 2026-06-01 | 2026-06-08 | $1.3315 | $1.1549 | -13.27% | 59.52 |
| 2026-07-22 | 2026-07-29 | $1.1424 | $1.0680 | -6.51% | 55.64 |
| 2026-07-29 | 2026-08-05 | $1.0680 | $1.0730 | +0.47% | 55.90 |
| 2026-08-09 | 2026-08-16 | $1.0389 | $1.0018 | -3.57% | 53.90 |
| 2026-08-20 | 2026-08-27 | $1.1051 | $1.4225 | +28.71% | 69.38 |
| 2026-09-02 | 2026-09-09 | $1.3515 | $1.4173 | +4.87% | 72.76 |
| 2026-09-09 | 2026-09-16 | $1.4173 | $1.2833 | -9.45% | 65.88 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.