Transparent historical data
What Happens to XRP After a 30% 30-Day Correction?
XRP has recorded 1 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -8.81% and 0.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 30-day outcomes
Not enough completed data yet for a distribution chart.
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 1 | -20.06% | -20.06% | 0.0% | -20.06% | -20.06% |
| 3 days | 1 | -5.89% | -5.89% | 0.0% | -5.89% | -5.89% |
| 7 days | 1 | -8.81% | -8.81% | 0.0% | -8.81% | -8.81% |
| 14 days | 1 | -5.06% | -5.06% | 0.0% | -5.06% | -5.06% |
| 30 days | 1 | -9.65% | -9.65% | 0.0% | -9.65% | -9.65% |
| 90 days | 1 | -6.88% | -6.88% | 0.0% | -6.88% | -6.88% |
Historical occurrences
1 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | -35.51 | $1.52 | -20.06% | -5.89% | -8.81% | -5.06% | -9.65% | -6.88% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-02-05: -8.81%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-02-05: -8.81%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 30 day(s) falls to or below -30%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.