Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After a 30% 30-Day Correction

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after a 30% 30-day correction, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for XRP

1 historical signal(s) detected for XRP; 1 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades1
Win rate0.0%
Average return / trade-8.81%
Compounded total return-8.81%
Max drawdown-8.81%
Buy & hold, same period-8.81%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2026-02-05 2026-02-12 $1.5179 $1.3842 -8.81% 91.19

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for XRP ยท Read the full methodology