Transparent historical data
What Happens to WhiteBIT Coin When Fear & Greed Falls Below 25?
WhiteBIT Coin has recorded 14 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 0.17% and 57.1% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Alternative.me Crypto Fear & Greed Index and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -4.5% to -3.7% | 3 |
| -3.7% to -2.9% | 0 |
| -2.9% to -2.0% | 1 |
| -2.0% to -1.2% | 1 |
| -1.2% to -0.4% | 1 |
| -0.4% to +0.4% | 1 |
| +0.4% to +1.2% | 4 |
| +1.2% to +2.1% | 0 |
| +2.1% to +2.9% | 3 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 14 | -0.11% | 0.11% | 50.0% | 3.78% | -3.74% |
| 3 days | 14 | 0.45% | -0.44% | 57.1% | 2.87% | -4.50% |
| 7 days | 14 | 0.17% | -0.42% | 57.1% | 3.86% | -6.83% |
| 14 days | 14 | -2.80% | -2.21% | 35.7% | 25.74% | -23.85% |
| 30 days | 14 | -1.34% | 9.27% | 50.0% | 38.03% | -9.03% |
| 90 days | 11 | 4.10% | 8.72% | 54.5% | 36.53% | -12.07% |
Historical occurrences
14 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | 25.00 | $55.01 | +0.75% | +1.16% | +0.26% | +1.16% | +28.69% | — |
| 2026-07-31 | 25.00 | $56.48 | -2.94% | -2.11% | -1.47% | -2.75% | +27.72% | — |
| 2026-07-14 | 22.00 | $54.59 | +3.75% | +2.14% | +3.86% | +2.08% | +0.65% | — |
| 2026-05-24 | 25.00 | $56.59 | +0.15% | -1.43% | -4.78% | -23.85% | -7.79% | +28.29% |
| 2026-05-19 | 25.00 | $56.75 | -0.34% | +0.67% | +0.08% | -7.85% | -6.34% | -4.05% |
| 2026-01-30 | 16.00 | $50.82 | -0.35% | -4.41% | -6.83% | -2.85% | -3.34% | +5.97% |
| 2026-01-21 | 24.00 | $52.62 | +0.86% | +0.68% | +0.38% | -7.75% | -6.64% | +4.10% |
| 2026-01-10 | 25.00 | $53.74 | +1.75% | -0.64% | +2.79% | -1.43% | -3.79% | -2.09% |
| 2025-12-13 | 23.00 | $60.38 | +0.04% | -3.96% | -4.43% | -7.14% | -9.03% | -11.23% |
| 2025-12-06 | 23.00 | $60.60 | -0.25% | +0.82% | -0.37% | -4.78% | -4.79% | -12.07% |
| 2025-11-04 | 21.00 | $53.93 | -3.74% | -4.50% | +2.21% | -5.27% | +16.61% | -9.92% |
| 2025-10-22 | 25.00 | $41.29 | -0.28% | +2.34% | +2.92% | +25.74% | +38.03% | +31.80% |
| 2025-10-17 | 22.00 | $41.35 | -1.60% | +0.23% | +1.29% | +2.13% | +27.81% | +36.53% |
| 2025-10-12 | 24.00 | $41.78 | +3.78% | +2.87% | -1.83% | +1.55% | +31.92% | +28.62% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-07-14: +3.86%
- 2025-10-22: +2.92%
- 2026-01-10: +2.79%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-01-30: -6.83%
- 2026-05-24: -4.78%
- 2025-12-13: -4.43%
How this study works
Daily Fear & Greed observations satisfying the inclusive threshold are grouped into episodes, then returns are measured from the target asset's same-date price.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.