Historical rule simulator
Backtest: When Fear & Greed Falls Below 25
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy when fear & greed falls below 25, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for WhiteBIT Coin
14 historical signal(s) detected for WhiteBIT Coin; 11 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (3 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-12 | 2025-10-19 | $41.7847 | $41.0205 | -1.83% | 98.17 |
| 2025-10-22 | 2025-10-29 | $41.2856 | $42.4911 | +2.92% | 101.04 |
| 2025-11-04 | 2025-11-11 | $53.9293 | $55.1219 | +2.21% | 103.27 |
| 2025-12-06 | 2025-12-13 | $60.6019 | $60.3782 | -0.37% | 102.89 |
| 2025-12-13 | 2025-12-20 | $60.3782 | $57.7051 | -4.43% | 98.34 |
| 2026-01-10 | 2026-01-17 | $53.7430 | $55.2416 | +2.79% | 101.08 |
| 2026-01-21 | 2026-01-28 | $52.6169 | $52.8160 | +0.38% | 101.46 |
| 2026-01-30 | 2026-02-06 | $50.8203 | $47.3491 | -6.83% | 94.53 |
| 2026-05-19 | 2026-05-26 | $56.7516 | $56.7954 | +0.08% | 94.60 |
| 2026-07-14 | 2026-07-21 | $54.5866 | $56.6923 | +3.86% | 98.25 |
| 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-07 | $56.4761 | $55.6468 | -1.47% | 96.81 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for WhiteBIT Coin · Read the full methodology