Transparent historical data
What Happens to TRON After 5 Consecutive Red Days?
TRON has recorded 3 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was 0.39% and 66.7% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets โ ยท Backtest this rule โ
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
Not enough completed data yet for a distribution chart.
All forward horizons
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Historical occurrences
3 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only โ outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | -0.43 | $0.32 | +0.59% | +0.95% | +2.66% | +1.59% | +5.12% | +7.84% |
| 2026-02-03 | -0.48 | $0.28 | +0.90% | -4.95% | +0.39% | +0.41% | +1.35% | +19.39% |
| 2025-11-21 | -2.19 | $0.28 | -1.41% | -1.88% | -0.05% | +2.11% | +0.48% | -0.57% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-06-13: +2.66%
- 2026-02-03: +0.39%
- 2025-11-21: -0.05%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-11-21: -0.05%
- 2026-02-03: +0.39%
- 2026-06-13: +2.66%
How this study works
An occurrence is recorded once when the daily reference price has declined for 5 consecutive UTC days. Longer uninterrupted streaks do not create duplicate occurrences.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) โ 1) ร 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.