Transparent historical data
What Happens to TRON After 3 Consecutive Red Days?
TRON has recorded 18 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -0.19% and 50.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 7-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -6.9% to -5.7% | 1 |
| -5.7% to -4.5% | 2 |
| -4.5% to -3.3% | 0 |
| -3.3% to -2.1% | 1 |
| -2.1% to -0.8% | 3 |
| -0.8% to +0.4% | 4 |
| +0.4% to +1.6% | 3 |
| +1.6% to +2.8% | 2 |
| +2.8% to +4.0% | 2 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
19 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | -1.56 | $0.33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-01 | -1.06 | $0.33 | -3.07% | -0.49% | +0.64% | +1.71% | — | — |
| 2026-08-16 | -0.43 | $0.33 | +0.01% | +0.51% | +4.02% | +2.97% | +2.16% | — |
| 2026-07-18 | -0.15 | $0.32 | +0.95% | +1.27% | +2.50% | +0.98% | +2.61% | — |
| 2026-06-26 | -1.05 | $0.32 | -1.02% | -0.52% | -1.93% | +2.61% | +2.41% | — |
| 2026-06-11 | -0.56 | $0.32 | -1.34% | -1.20% | +0.19% | +1.88% | +2.91% | +5.59% |
| 2026-05-30 | -2.42 | $0.34 | +1.08% | -0.21% | -6.94% | -8.37% | -6.44% | -1.82% |
| 2026-04-25 | -1.67 | $0.32 | +0.20% | +0.60% | +1.09% | +8.29% | +12.96% | +1.64% |
| 2026-03-25 | -0.43 | $0.31 | +2.78% | +1.54% | +2.29% | +6.35% | +7.42% | +8.99% |
| 2026-03-02 | -0.41 | $0.28 | +0.87% | +2.22% | +3.05% | +6.30% | +11.50% | +23.81% |
| 2026-02-01 | -2.67 | $0.29 | -0.55% | -0.14% | -2.85% | -1.32% | -1.02% | +14.21% |
| 2026-01-21 | -4.78 | $0.30 | +0.77% | +0.17% | -0.90% | -3.73% | -3.99% | +10.80% |
| 2025-12-25 | -1.16 | $0.28 | -0.54% | +1.59% | +1.50% | +6.41% | +6.17% | +9.28% |
| 2025-11-19 | -0.40 | $0.29 | -1.26% | -4.78% | -5.48% | -3.16% | -3.77% | -1.99% |
| 2025-11-15 | -0.14 | $0.29 | +0.70% | -0.37% | -5.51% | -3.90% | -5.22% | -4.23% |
| 2025-10-26 | -2.22 | $0.30 | +1.10% | -0.50% | +0.10% | -1.92% | -7.52% | +0.12% |
| 2025-10-12 | -1.94 | $0.31 | +2.69% | +0.76% | -0.47% | -5.56% | -5.82% | -5.20% |
| 2025-09-24 | -1.18 | $0.34 | +0.65% | +0.69% | -0.76% | +0.58% | -6.64% | -15.42% |
| 2025-09-16 | -1.08 | $0.34 | -0.69% | +1.68% | -1.35% | -2.29% | -7.35% | -19.59% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-08-16: +4.02%
- 2026-03-02: +3.05%
- 2026-07-18: +2.50%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-05-30: -6.94%
- 2025-11-15: -5.51%
- 2025-11-19: -5.48%
How this study works
An occurrence is recorded once when the daily reference price has declined for 3 consecutive UTC days. Longer uninterrupted streaks do not create duplicate occurrences.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.