Transparent historical data
What Happens to Sui After Negative Funding?
Sui has recorded 74 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -2.21% and 37.8% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Binance USDⓈ-M Futures and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 1-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -10.3% to -7.6% | 3 |
| -7.6% to -5.0% | 6 |
| -5.0% to -2.3% | 14 |
| -2.3% to +0.4% | 16 |
| +0.4% to +3.0% | 24 |
| +3.0% to +5.7% | 8 |
| +5.7% to +8.4% | 1 |
| +8.4% to +11.1% | 0 |
| +11.1% to +13.7% | 2 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 74 | 0.13% | -0.34% | 52.7% | 13.74% | -10.32% |
| 3 days | 74 | -0.40% | -0.07% | 47.3% | 26.06% | -16.31% |
| 7 days | 74 | -2.21% | -3.19% | 37.8% | 26.74% | -23.84% |
| 14 days | 72 | -5.71% | -5.98% | 30.6% | 40.73% | -36.44% |
| 30 days | 70 | -6.29% | -10.74% | 32.9% | 26.99% | -49.76% |
| 90 days | 57 | -30.87% | -30.40% | 8.8% | 19.35% | -63.00% |
Historical occurrences
74 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | -0.00 | $0.81 | -4.81% | -10.57% | -15.38% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-07 | -0.00 | $0.81 | +0.82% | -4.85% | -13.46% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-31 | -0.01 | $0.71 | +2.19% | +4.92% | +14.15% | -1.21% | — | — |
| 2026-08-28 | -0.00 | $0.78 | -4.63% | -8.83% | +0.45% | -6.73% | — | — |
| 2026-08-17 | -0.00 | $0.67 | +0.60% | +5.22% | +26.74% | +6.02% | +2.37% | — |
| 2026-08-12 | -0.00 | $0.69 | -1.66% | -1.49% | -5.92% | +9.36% | +5.04% | — |
| 2026-08-06 | -0.01 | $0.69 | -2.59% | +0.31% | -1.27% | +2.32% | +9.54% | — |
| 2026-08-01 | -0.00 | $0.68 | -0.85% | +1.35% | -1.39% | +0.12% | +4.36% | — |
| 2026-07-30 | -0.00 | $0.69 | +0.91% | -1.47% | +0.60% | -0.68% | +8.48% | — |
| 2026-07-21 | -0.00 | $0.76 | +0.94% | -2.62% | -10.95% | -9.63% | -7.65% | — |
| 2026-07-18 | -0.00 | $0.74 | +0.44% | +3.30% | -3.96% | -7.89% | -9.33% | — |
| 2026-07-16 | -0.00 | $0.75 | -2.16% | -1.57% | +1.28% | -9.17% | -9.62% | — |
| 2026-07-14 | -0.00 | $0.72 | +5.62% | +2.38% | +5.93% | -5.68% | -5.60% | — |
| 2026-07-12 | -0.00 | $0.73 | +0.98% | +4.57% | +1.96% | -2.45% | -6.14% | — |
| 2026-07-07 | -0.01 | $0.75 | -2.84% | -4.35% | -3.74% | +1.97% | -7.96% | — |
| 2026-07-02 | -0.00 | $0.71 | +2.76% | +6.51% | -0.58% | +5.60% | -4.68% | — |
| 2026-06-28 | -0.01 | $0.68 | -0.48% | +0.90% | +11.36% | +6.58% | -0.47% | — |
| 2026-06-18 | -0.00 | $0.77 | -4.94% | -6.96% | -10.69% | -6.79% | -3.54% | -10.47% |
| 2026-06-14 | -0.00 | $0.77 | +4.56% | +3.67% | -7.07% | -10.96% | -6.04% | -5.50% |
| 2026-06-11 | -0.00 | $0.73 | +3.77% | +5.66% | +5.53% | -5.75% | +1.62% | +11.65% |
| 2026-05-27 | -0.01 | $1.00 | -4.25% | -9.54% | -19.30% | -25.09% | -31.67% | -20.09% |
| 2026-05-23 | -0.00 | $1.05 | +1.84% | -0.43% | -13.50% | -32.78% | -33.73% | -29.85% |
| 2026-05-13 | -0.00 | $1.24 | -2.37% | -11.16% | -15.05% | -19.17% | -39.04% | -44.72% |
| 2026-05-09 | -0.00 | $1.02 | +4.81% | +26.06% | +7.47% | +2.26% | -25.95% | -34.30% |
| 2026-05-07 | -0.00 | $0.99 | -2.50% | +7.85% | +21.53% | +8.48% | -29.27% | -30.30% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-08-17: +26.74%
- 2026-05-07: +21.53%
- 2026-08-31: +14.15%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-11-16: -23.84%
- 2026-01-28: -22.60%
- 2026-01-14: -21.21%
How this study works
Each Binance funding rate is normalized to an eight-hour equivalent. An episode begins when that rate is below 0%. Consecutive qualifying funding intervals are grouped, and returns begin from the exact UTC date of the first qualifying interval.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.