Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After Negative Funding

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after negative funding, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for Sui

74 historical signal(s) detected for Sui; 38 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (36 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades38
Win rate44.7%
Average return / trade-2.33%
Compounded total return-68.43%
Max drawdown-73.40%
Buy & hold, same period-79.76%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2025-09-10 2025-09-17 $3.4704 $3.6007 +3.76% 103.76
2025-09-20 2025-09-27 $3.6395 $3.2198 -11.53% 91.79
2025-09-28 2025-10-05 $3.1789 $3.6248 +14.03% 104.67
2025-10-06 2025-10-13 $3.5625 $2.8096 -21.13% 82.55
2025-10-18 2025-10-25 $2.4397 $2.5234 +3.43% 85.38
2025-10-29 2025-11-05 $2.5073 $1.9773 -21.14% 67.33
2025-11-05 2025-11-12 $1.9773 $2.0091 +1.60% 68.41
2025-11-16 2025-11-23 $1.7663 $1.3452 -23.84% 52.10
2025-11-23 2025-11-30 $1.3452 $1.4996 +11.48% 58.08
2025-12-01 2025-12-08 $1.5007 $1.5812 +5.37% 61.20
2025-12-10 2025-12-17 $1.6587 $1.5111 -8.90% 55.75
2025-12-18 2025-12-25 $1.4220 $1.4150 -0.49% 55.48
2026-01-05 2026-01-12 $1.6973 $1.8096 +6.62% 59.15
2026-01-14 2026-01-21 $1.8951 $1.4932 -21.21% 46.60
2026-01-22 2026-01-29 $1.5278 $1.4374 -5.91% 43.85
2026-01-31 2026-02-07 $1.2928 $1.0249 -20.72% 34.76
2026-02-14 2026-02-21 $0.9944 $0.9842 -1.03% 34.40
2026-02-22 2026-03-01 $0.9898 $0.9283 -6.21% 32.27
2026-03-03 2026-03-10 $0.9426 $0.9672 +2.61% 33.11
2026-03-14 2026-03-21 $1.0125 $0.9680 -4.40% 31.65
2026-03-26 2026-04-02 $1.0025 $0.8818 -12.04% 27.84
2026-04-05 2026-04-12 $0.8721 $0.9414 +7.95% 30.05
2026-04-14 2026-04-21 $0.9610 $0.9447 -1.69% 29.55
2026-04-21 2026-04-28 $0.9447 $0.9359 -0.93% 29.27
2026-05-02 2026-05-09 $0.9189 $1.0226 +11.28% 32.57
2026-05-09 2026-05-16 $1.0226 $1.0989 +7.47% 35.00
2026-05-23 2026-05-30 $1.0456 $0.9045 -13.50% 30.28
2026-06-11 2026-06-18 $0.7266 $0.7668 +5.53% 31.95
2026-06-18 2026-06-25 $0.7668 $0.6848 -10.69% 28.54
2026-06-28 2026-07-05 $0.6836 $0.7612 +11.36% 31.78
2026-07-07 2026-07-14 $0.7493 $0.7213 -3.74% 30.59
2026-07-14 2026-07-21 $0.7213 $0.7641 +5.93% 32.40
2026-07-21 2026-07-28 $0.7641 $0.6804 -10.95% 28.85
2026-07-30 2026-08-06 $0.6855 $0.6897 +0.60% 29.03
2026-08-06 2026-08-13 $0.6897 $0.6809 -1.27% 28.66
2026-08-17 2026-08-24 $0.6706 $0.8499 +26.74% 36.32
2026-08-28 2026-09-04 $0.7798 $0.7833 +0.45% 36.48
2026-09-07 2026-09-14 $0.8116 $0.7024 -13.46% 31.57

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for Sui ยท Read the full methodology