Transparent historical data
What Happens to Sui After Funding Rises to +0.01%?
Sui has recorded 55 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -1.66% and 43.6% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Binance USDⓈ-M Futures and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 14-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -35.3% to -27.7% | 4 |
| -27.7% to -20.0% | 5 |
| -20.0% to -12.3% | 10 |
| -12.3% to -4.7% | 10 |
| -4.7% to +3.0% | 13 |
| +3.0% to +10.6% | 7 |
| +10.6% to +18.3% | 1 |
| +18.3% to +26.0% | 1 |
| +26.0% to +33.6% | 3 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 56 | -1.24% | -0.58% | 42.9% | 9.98% | -18.28% |
| 3 days | 55 | -1.47% | -0.85% | 43.6% | 15.52% | -16.13% |
| 7 days | 55 | -1.66% | -2.15% | 43.6% | 44.69% | -32.85% |
| 14 days | 54 | -5.03% | -5.42% | 33.3% | 33.64% | -35.34% |
| 30 days | 52 | -8.75% | -11.19% | 30.8% | 32.50% | -47.88% |
| 90 days | 44 | -31.70% | -32.57% | 4.5% | 11.24% | -60.00% |
Historical occurrences
56 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | 0.01 | $0.72 | -4.75% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-09 | 0.01 | $0.81 | -4.81% | -10.57% | -15.38% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-02 | 0.01 | $0.72 | +3.38% | +4.69% | +12.43% | -4.86% | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 | 0.01 | $0.71 | +3.95% | +15.52% | +8.75% | +5.71% | — | — |
| 2026-08-12 | 0.01 | $0.69 | -1.66% | -1.49% | -5.92% | +9.36% | +5.04% | — |
| 2026-08-08 | 0.01 | $0.67 | +2.98% | +1.79% | +1.54% | +25.60% | +20.81% | — |
| 2026-08-02 | 0.01 | $0.68 | +2.00% | +2.54% | +2.41% | +0.21% | +7.55% | — |
| 2026-07-30 | 0.01 | $0.69 | +0.91% | -1.47% | +0.60% | -0.68% | +8.48% | — |
| 2026-07-14 | 0.01 | $0.72 | +5.62% | +2.38% | +5.93% | -5.68% | -5.60% | — |
| 2026-07-11 | 0.01 | $0.74 | -1.33% | -2.31% | +0.17% | -3.79% | -7.09% | — |
| 2026-07-03 | 0.01 | $0.73 | +4.73% | +2.96% | -2.41% | +0.55% | -8.02% | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 0.01 | $0.70 | -1.62% | +4.76% | +6.89% | +2.89% | -2.21% | — |
| 2026-06-17 | 0.01 | $0.80 | -3.66% | -10.02% | -11.60% | -13.34% | -7.22% | -9.44% |
| 2026-06-05 | 0.01 | $0.77 | -8.28% | -1.19% | -1.61% | -4.88% | -0.67% | -2.66% |
| 2026-06-01 | 0.01 | $0.89 | -1.81% | -7.84% | -15.36% | -10.27% | -22.90% | -16.72% |
| 2026-05-20 | 0.01 | $1.05 | +2.58% | -0.49% | -4.84% | -23.21% | -30.63% | -35.80% |
| 2026-05-11 | 0.01 | $1.33 | -3.16% | -9.27% | -21.58% | -22.55% | -43.73% | -48.02% |
| 2026-05-06 | 0.01 | $0.97 | +2.78% | +5.77% | +27.94% | +8.69% | -20.73% | -28.58% |
| 2026-05-04 | 0.01 | $0.92 | +0.98% | +8.02% | +44.69% | +13.47% | -12.28% | -26.57% |
| 2026-04-29 | 0.01 | $0.93 | -1.98% | -0.72% | +4.45% | +33.64% | +0.35% | -26.49% |
| 2026-04-17 | 0.01 | $1.00 | -0.21% | -7.67% | -5.42% | -9.21% | +6.05% | -24.55% |
| 2026-04-14 | 0.01 | $0.96 | -2.74% | +4.09% | -1.69% | -2.61% | +25.67% | -23.44% |
| 2026-04-08 | 0.01 | $0.96 | -5.00% | -1.89% | -2.86% | -1.32% | +0.70% | -22.12% |
| 2026-04-06 | 0.01 | $0.88 | -0.72% | +3.98% | +2.59% | +5.05% | +9.98% | -13.41% |
| 2026-03-30 | 0.01 | $0.85 | +1.80% | +4.04% | +3.72% | +6.41% | +9.20% | -19.35% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-05-04: +44.69%
- 2025-12-31: +32.64%
- 2026-05-06: +27.94%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-01-30: -32.85%
- 2026-05-11: -21.58%
- 2025-11-08: -19.01%
How this study works
Each Binance funding rate is normalized to an eight-hour equivalent. An episode begins when that rate is at or above 0.01%. Consecutive qualifying funding intervals are grouped, and returns begin from the exact UTC date of the first qualifying interval.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.