Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After Funding Rises to +0.01%

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after funding rises to +0.01%, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for Sui

56 historical signal(s) detected for Sui; 33 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (23 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades33
Win rate51.5%
Average return / trade-2.15%
Compounded total return-60.78%
Max drawdown-67.98%
Buy & hold, same period-80.22%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2025-09-10 2025-09-17 $3.4704 $3.6007 +3.76% 103.76
2025-09-18 2025-09-25 $3.7773 $3.3616 -11.01% 92.34
2025-09-28 2025-10-05 $3.1789 $3.6248 +14.03% 105.29
2025-10-07 2025-10-14 $3.6285 $2.9927 -17.52% 86.84
2025-10-22 2025-10-29 $2.4902 $2.5073 +0.69% 87.44
2025-11-04 2025-11-11 $2.0682 $2.1634 +4.60% 91.46
2025-11-17 2025-11-24 $1.6786 $1.3661 -18.62% 74.43
2025-12-03 2025-12-10 $1.6283 $1.6587 +1.87% 75.82
2025-12-10 2025-12-17 $1.6587 $1.5111 -8.90% 69.07
2025-12-17 2025-12-24 $1.5111 $1.4349 -5.04% 65.59
2025-12-25 2026-01-01 $1.4150 $1.4039 -0.78% 65.08
2026-01-06 2026-01-13 $1.9065 $1.7751 -6.89% 60.59
2026-01-13 2026-01-20 $1.7751 $1.5788 -11.06% 53.89
2026-01-20 2026-01-27 $1.5788 $1.4709 -6.84% 50.21
2026-01-30 2026-02-06 $1.3417 $0.9010 -32.85% 33.72
2026-02-20 2026-02-27 $0.9690 $0.9689 -0.01% 33.71
2026-03-05 2026-03-12 $0.9756 $0.9791 +0.36% 33.83
2026-03-12 2026-03-19 $0.9791 $1.0077 +2.91% 34.82
2026-03-30 2026-04-06 $0.8476 $0.8791 +3.72% 36.11
2026-04-06 2026-04-13 $0.8791 $0.9019 +2.59% 37.05
2026-04-14 2026-04-21 $0.9610 $0.9447 -1.69% 36.42
2026-04-29 2026-05-06 $0.9256 $0.9668 +4.45% 38.04
2026-05-06 2026-05-13 $0.9668 $1.2369 +27.94% 48.68
2026-05-20 2026-05-27 $1.0508 $0.9999 -4.84% 46.32
2026-06-01 2026-06-08 $0.8946 $0.7572 -15.36% 39.21
2026-06-17 2026-06-24 $0.7959 $0.7036 -11.60% 34.66
2026-06-30 2026-07-07 $0.7010 $0.7493 +6.89% 37.04
2026-07-11 2026-07-18 $0.7384 $0.7396 +0.17% 37.11
2026-07-30 2026-08-06 $0.6855 $0.6897 +0.60% 37.33
2026-08-08 2026-08-15 $0.6718 $0.6821 +1.54% 37.90
2026-08-20 2026-08-27 $0.7056 $0.7674 +8.75% 41.22
2026-09-02 2026-09-09 $0.7216 $0.8112 +12.43% 46.34
2026-09-09 2026-09-16 $0.8112 $0.6865 -15.38% 39.22

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for Sui ยท Read the full methodology