Transparent historical data
What Happens to Sui After 5 Consecutive Red Days?
Sui has recorded 5 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -1.82% and 40.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -5.3% to -3.2% | 3 |
| -3.2% to -1.0% | 1 |
| -1.0% to +1.1% | 0 |
| +1.1% to +3.3% | 1 |
| +3.3% to +5.4% | 0 |
| +5.4% to +7.5% | 0 |
| +7.5% to +9.7% | 0 |
| +9.7% to +11.8% | 0 |
| +11.8% to +14.0% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 6 | -1.12% | -0.49% | 50.0% | 3.70% | -3.83% |
| 3 days | 6 | -2.21% | 0.58% | 33.3% | 13.97% | -5.30% |
| 7 days | 5 | -1.82% | -1.81% | 40.0% | 6.22% | -12.42% |
| 14 days | 5 | 7.22% | -0.73% | 60.0% | 9.12% | -17.69% |
| 30 days | 5 | -5.46% | -6.22% | 40.0% | 11.30% | -26.95% |
| 90 days | 3 | -21.47% | -8.36% | 33.3% | 33.69% | -37.32% |
Historical occurrences
6 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | -0.07 | $0.72 | -3.11% | -5.30% | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-09 | -2.40 | $0.71 | +0.87% | +2.54% | +6.22% | +7.58% | -5.46% | — |
| 2026-06-22 | -2.87 | $0.69 | +3.70% | -1.18% | -1.82% | +9.12% | +11.30% | — |
| 2026-05-16 | -7.40 | $1.10 | -3.46% | -3.24% | -4.85% | -17.69% | -26.95% | -37.32% |
| 2026-02-12 | -0.63 | $0.93 | +2.90% | +13.97% | +3.82% | +7.22% | +9.44% | +33.69% |
| 2026-02-01 | -9.49 | $1.17 | -3.83% | -3.32% | -12.42% | -9.88% | -19.44% | -21.47% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-07-09: +6.22%
- 2026-02-12: +3.82%
- 2026-06-22: -1.82%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-02-01: -12.42%
- 2026-05-16: -4.85%
- 2026-06-22: -1.82%
How this study works
An occurrence is recorded once when the daily reference price has declined for 5 consecutive UTC days. Longer uninterrupted streaks do not create duplicate occurrences.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.