Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After 5 Consecutive Red Days

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after 5 consecutive red days, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for Sui

6 historical signal(s) detected for Sui; 6 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades5
Win rate40.0%
Average return / trade-1.81%
Compounded total return-9.78%
Max drawdown-15.06%
Buy & hold, same period-35.50%

Hypothetical growth of $100

1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2026-02-01 2026-02-08 $1.1701 $1.0248 -12.42% 87.58
2026-02-12 2026-02-19 $0.9252 $0.9605 +3.82% 90.93
2026-05-16 2026-05-23 $1.0989 $1.0456 -4.85% 86.52
2026-06-22 2026-06-29 $0.6929 $0.6803 -1.82% 84.94
2026-07-09 2026-07-16 $0.7106 $0.7548 +6.22% 90.22

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for Sui ยท Read the full methodology