Transparent historical data
What Happens to Sui After a 30% 30-Day Correction?
Sui has recorded 10 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -7.64% and 20.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 90-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -52.6% to -45.8% | 1 |
| -45.8% to -38.9% | 1 |
| -38.9% to -32.0% | 2 |
| -32.0% to -25.1% | 2 |
| -25.1% to -18.3% | 0 |
| -18.3% to -11.4% | 2 |
| -11.4% to -4.5% | 0 |
| -4.5% to +2.4% | 0 |
| +2.4% to +9.2% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 10 | -2.76% | -0.81% | 30.0% | 10.43% | -4.90% |
| 3 days | 10 | -3.24% | -2.83% | 40.0% | 10.96% | -12.48% |
| 7 days | 10 | -7.64% | -7.90% | 20.0% | 6.26% | -18.62% |
| 14 days | 10 | -10.58% | -11.59% | 10.0% | 0.75% | -26.31% |
| 30 days | 10 | -15.98% | -18.46% | 10.0% | 1.91% | -39.92% |
| 90 days | 9 | -28.45% | -27.81% | 11.1% | 9.24% | -52.63% |
Historical occurrences
10 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | -30.63 | $0.73 | -1.75% | -4.94% | -6.27% | +0.75% | +1.91% | — |
| 2026-06-10 | -43.73 | $0.75 | -2.99% | +0.23% | +6.26% | -6.07% | -4.31% | +9.24% |
| 2026-02-04 | -33.35 | $1.13 | -2.53% | -9.40% | -17.69% | -11.65% | -13.38% | -17.88% |
| 2026-02-02 | -30.16 | $1.13 | +4.07% | -2.02% | -10.79% | -10.57% | -17.00% | -17.57% |
| 2025-11-17 | -31.20 | $1.68 | -3.74% | -4.47% | -18.62% | -10.60% | -9.98% | -37.18% |
| 2025-11-13 | -34.32 | $1.97 | -4.90% | -10.14% | -18.41% | -21.52% | -20.63% | -52.63% |
| 2025-11-01 | -32.96 | $2.36 | +0.64% | -12.48% | -9.02% | -26.31% | -36.50% | -43.22% |
| 2025-10-22 | -31.04 | $2.49 | -4.34% | +1.33% | +0.69% | -20.60% | -39.92% | -36.60% |
| 2025-10-17 | -30.14 | $2.52 | -3.01% | +2.61% | -3.47% | -8.90% | -29.78% | -25.97% |
| 2025-10-12 | -30.62 | $2.54 | +10.43% | +10.96% | -1.67% | -0.43% | -14.97% | -28.45% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-06-10: +6.26%
- 2025-10-22: +0.69%
- 2025-10-12: -1.67%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-11-17: -18.62%
- 2025-11-13: -18.41%
- 2026-02-04: -17.69%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 30 day(s) falls to or below -30%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.