Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After a 30% 30-Day Correction

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after a 30% 30-day correction, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for Sui

10 historical signal(s) detected for Sui; 7 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (3 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades7
Win rate28.6%
Average return / trade-5.60%
Compounded total return-34.71%
Max drawdown-34.71%
Buy & hold, same period-73.15%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2025-10-12 2025-10-19 $2.5442 $2.5016 -1.67% 98.33
2025-10-22 2025-10-29 $2.4902 $2.5073 +0.69% 99.00
2025-11-01 2025-11-08 $2.3633 $2.1502 -9.02% 90.08
2025-11-13 2025-11-20 $1.9656 $1.6037 -18.41% 73.49
2026-02-02 2026-02-09 $1.1253 $1.0038 -10.79% 65.56
2026-06-10 2026-06-17 $0.7490 $0.7959 +6.26% 69.66
2026-06-19 2026-06-26 $0.7289 $0.6832 -6.27% 65.29

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for Sui ยท Read the full methodology