Transparent historical data
What Happens to Sui After 3 Consecutive Red Days?
Sui has recorded 30 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -1.58% and 46.7% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 7-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -32.8% to -25.6% | 1 |
| -25.6% to -18.3% | 1 |
| -18.3% to -11.0% | 2 |
| -11.0% to -3.7% | 6 |
| -3.7% to +3.5% | 9 |
| +3.5% to +10.8% | 9 |
| +10.8% to +18.1% | 0 |
| +18.1% to +25.4% | 0 |
| +25.4% to +32.6% | 2 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 31 | 0.09% | 0.80% | 54.8% | 13.74% | -6.83% |
| 3 days | 31 | 0.34% | 0.12% | 51.6% | 12.46% | -16.13% |
| 7 days | 30 | -1.58% | -0.25% | 46.7% | 32.64% | -32.85% |
| 14 days | 30 | -3.35% | -2.16% | 40.0% | 33.50% | -29.04% |
| 30 days | 30 | -4.92% | -9.95% | 43.3% | 19.64% | -47.88% |
| 90 days | 25 | -28.45% | -24.87% | 16.0% | 38.09% | -56.06% |
Historical occurrences
31 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | -5.82 | $0.73 | -0.25% | -3.43% | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-17 | -0.93 | $0.67 | +0.60% | +5.22% | +26.74% | +6.02% | +2.37% | — |
| 2026-07-25 | -4.52 | $0.71 | +0.05% | -4.22% | -4.10% | -5.43% | +19.64% | — |
| 2026-07-07 | -0.90 | $0.75 | -2.84% | -4.35% | -3.74% | +1.97% | -7.96% | — |
| 2026-06-26 | -0.23 | $0.68 | +2.05% | -0.43% | +7.49% | +4.90% | +4.03% | — |
| 2026-06-20 | -1.75 | $0.72 | -0.38% | +0.34% | -2.64% | +7.40% | +4.60% | — |
| 2026-06-11 | -2.99 | $0.73 | +3.77% | +5.66% | +5.53% | -5.75% | +1.62% | +11.65% |
| 2026-06-03 | -8.13 | $0.81 | +2.17% | -12.90% | -7.18% | -1.37% | -8.99% | -9.97% |
| 2026-05-29 | -2.99 | $0.93 | -2.61% | -3.68% | -17.49% | -18.82% | -26.40% | -17.38% |
| 2026-05-14 | -2.37 | $1.21 | -1.73% | -12.16% | -10.74% | -20.72% | -37.84% | -42.66% |
| 2026-04-30 | -1.98 | $0.91 | +0.11% | +2.24% | +9.53% | +33.12% | -0.30% | -23.72% |
| 2026-04-20 | -3.54 | $0.92 | +2.30% | +2.34% | +2.41% | -0.39% | +13.78% | -19.56% |
| 2026-03-29 | -2.38 | $0.86 | -1.41% | +2.10% | +1.44% | +9.51% | +8.87% | -18.90% |
| 2026-03-20 | -1.55 | $0.99 | -2.43% | -5.21% | -4.01% | -13.06% | -3.48% | -22.71% |
| 2026-02-25 | -1.84 | $0.90 | +10.75% | +3.44% | +4.27% | +10.08% | +6.31% | +16.23% |
| 2026-02-10 | -3.98 | $0.96 | -3.40% | -1.22% | +6.20% | -5.33% | +1.59% | +38.09% |
| 2026-02-06 | -18.28 | $0.90 | +13.74% | +11.41% | +5.66% | +7.54% | +3.17% | +10.28% |
| 2026-01-30 | -6.66 | $1.34 | -3.65% | -16.13% | -32.85% | -29.04% | -30.82% | -32.38% |
| 2026-01-20 | -4.61 | $1.58 | -5.42% | -3.72% | -6.84% | -25.82% | -39.16% | -41.50% |
| 2026-01-13 | -1.91 | $1.78 | +6.76% | +0.94% | -11.06% | -17.14% | -47.88% | -49.19% |
| 2026-01-09 | -0.06 | $1.82 | +0.09% | -0.51% | -1.48% | -16.43% | -43.65% | -49.74% |
| 2025-12-31 | -0.36 | $1.43 | -2.01% | +12.46% | +32.64% | +32.27% | -6.35% | -39.78% |
| 2025-12-26 | -3.72 | $1.36 | +2.53% | +6.05% | +8.18% | +33.50% | +11.73% | -26.41% |
| 2025-12-13 | -3.29 | $1.56 | +2.92% | -5.80% | -5.07% | -10.46% | +16.00% | -34.84% |
| 2025-11-22 | -7.09 | $1.39 | -3.24% | +9.83% | +9.48% | +11.86% | +4.01% | -30.30% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-12-31: +32.64%
- 2026-08-17: +26.74%
- 2026-04-30: +9.53%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-01-30: -32.85%
- 2025-11-14: -19.95%
- 2026-05-29: -17.49%
How this study works
An occurrence is recorded once when the daily reference price has declined for 3 consecutive UTC days. Longer uninterrupted streaks do not create duplicate occurrences.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.