Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After 3 Consecutive Red Days
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after 3 consecutive red days, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Sui
31 historical signal(s) detected for Sui; 25 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (6 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-24 | 2025-10-01 | $3.3232 | $3.2620 | -1.84% | 98.16 |
| 2025-10-12 | 2025-10-19 | $2.5442 | $2.5016 | -1.67% | 96.52 |
| 2025-10-23 | 2025-10-30 | $2.3823 | $2.5110 | +5.41% | 101.73 |
| 2025-11-05 | 2025-11-12 | $1.9773 | $2.0091 | +1.60% | 103.37 |
| 2025-11-14 | 2025-11-21 | $1.8692 | $1.4962 | -19.95% | 82.74 |
| 2025-11-22 | 2025-11-29 | $1.3902 | $1.5221 | +9.48% | 90.59 |
| 2025-12-13 | 2025-12-20 | $1.5600 | $1.4809 | -5.07% | 85.99 |
| 2025-12-26 | 2026-01-02 | $1.3624 | $1.4739 | +8.18% | 93.03 |
| 2026-01-09 | 2026-01-16 | $1.8188 | $1.7918 | -1.48% | 91.65 |
| 2026-01-20 | 2026-01-27 | $1.5788 | $1.4709 | -6.84% | 85.39 |
| 2026-01-30 | 2026-02-06 | $1.3417 | $0.9010 | -32.85% | 57.34 |
| 2026-02-06 | 2026-02-13 | $0.9010 | $0.9521 | +5.66% | 60.59 |
| 2026-02-25 | 2026-03-04 | $0.8957 | $0.9340 | +4.27% | 63.18 |
| 2026-03-20 | 2026-03-27 | $0.9920 | $0.9523 | -4.01% | 60.65 |
| 2026-03-29 | 2026-04-05 | $0.8597 | $0.8721 | +1.44% | 61.52 |
| 2026-04-20 | 2026-04-27 | $0.9235 | $0.9458 | +2.41% | 63.00 |
| 2026-04-30 | 2026-05-07 | $0.9072 | $0.9937 | +9.53% | 69.01 |
| 2026-05-14 | 2026-05-21 | $1.2077 | $1.0779 | -10.74% | 61.60 |
| 2026-05-29 | 2026-06-05 | $0.9288 | $0.7663 | -17.49% | 50.82 |
| 2026-06-11 | 2026-06-18 | $0.7266 | $0.7668 | +5.53% | 53.63 |
| 2026-06-20 | 2026-06-27 | $0.7162 | $0.6972 | -2.64% | 52.22 |
| 2026-07-07 | 2026-07-14 | $0.7493 | $0.7213 | -3.74% | 50.26 |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-08-01 | $0.7104 | $0.6813 | -4.10% | 48.20 |
| 2026-08-17 | 2026-08-24 | $0.6706 | $0.8499 | +26.74% | 61.09 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.