Transparent historical data
What Happens to Sui After a 20% 30-Day Correction?
Sui has recorded 7 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -6.55% and 14.3% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 1-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -8.3% to -7.0% | 1 |
| -7.0% to -5.8% | 0 |
| -5.8% to -4.5% | 0 |
| -4.5% to -3.3% | 1 |
| -3.3% to -2.1% | 2 |
| -2.1% to -0.8% | 0 |
| -0.8% to +0.4% | 1 |
| +0.4% to +1.7% | 1 |
| +1.7% to +2.9% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 7 | -2.16% | -1.88% | 42.9% | 2.92% | -8.28% |
| 3 days | 7 | -3.32% | -1.59% | 28.6% | 14.63% | -13.32% |
| 7 days | 7 | -6.55% | -9.07% | 14.3% | 0.32% | -21.14% |
| 14 days | 7 | -9.88% | -10.78% | 0.0% | -3.35% | -22.26% |
| 30 days | 7 | -17.97% | -10.16% | 28.6% | 16.00% | -38.45% |
| 90 days | 7 | -34.84% | -31.38% | 0.0% | -2.66% | -52.03% |
Historical occurrences
7 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | -20.73 | $0.77 | -8.28% | -1.19% | -1.61% | -4.88% | -0.67% | -2.66% |
| 2026-02-01 | -20.61 | $1.17 | -3.83% | -3.32% | -12.42% | -9.88% | -19.44% | -21.47% |
| 2025-12-13 | -20.63 | $1.56 | +2.92% | -5.80% | -5.07% | -10.46% | +16.00% | -34.84% |
| 2025-12-06 | -23.45 | $1.56 | +0.60% | +3.61% | +0.32% | -4.77% | +9.14% | -36.99% |
| 2025-11-12 | -28.49 | $2.01 | -2.16% | -13.32% | -17.02% | -22.26% | -19.71% | -52.03% |
| 2025-10-29 | -23.48 | $2.51 | +0.15% | -5.75% | -21.14% | -19.87% | -38.45% | -41.34% |
| 2025-10-11 | -27.89 | $2.61 | -2.55% | +14.63% | -6.55% | -3.35% | -17.97% | -30.34% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-12-06: +0.32%
- 2026-06-05: -1.61%
- 2025-12-13: -5.07%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-10-29: -21.14%
- 2025-11-12: -17.02%
- 2026-02-01: -12.42%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 30 day(s) falls to or below -20%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.