Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After a 20% 30-Day Correction

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after a 20% 30-day correction, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for Sui

7 historical signal(s) detected for Sui; 7 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades7
Win rate14.3%
Average return / trade-9.07%
Compounded total return-49.82%
Max drawdown-49.82%
Buy & hold, same period-71.12%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2025-10-11 2025-10-18 $2.6108 $2.4397 -6.55% 93.45
2025-10-29 2025-11-05 $2.5073 $1.9773 -21.14% 73.69
2025-11-12 2025-11-19 $2.0091 $1.6671 -17.02% 61.15
2025-12-06 2025-12-13 $1.5551 $1.5600 +0.32% 61.34
2025-12-13 2025-12-20 $1.5600 $1.4809 -5.07% 58.23
2026-02-01 2026-02-08 $1.1701 $1.0248 -12.42% 51.00
2026-06-05 2026-06-12 $0.7663 $0.7540 -1.61% 50.18

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for Sui ยท Read the full methodology