Transparent historical data
What Happens to Sui After a 15% 30-Day Correction?
Sui has recorded 7 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -1.61% and 28.6% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 14-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -22.3% to -18.7% | 1 |
| -18.7% to -15.2% | 0 |
| -15.2% to -11.7% | 0 |
| -11.7% to -8.2% | 1 |
| -8.2% to -4.6% | 1 |
| -4.6% to -1.1% | 2 |
| -1.1% to +2.4% | 0 |
| +2.4% to +5.9% | 1 |
| +5.9% to +9.5% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 7 | -2.16% | -0.56% | 42.9% | 9.98% | -8.28% |
| 3 days | 7 | -1.19% | -0.00% | 42.9% | 14.63% | -13.32% |
| 7 days | 7 | -1.61% | -4.00% | 28.6% | 9.06% | -17.02% |
| 14 days | 7 | -3.35% | -4.12% | 28.6% | 9.45% | -22.26% |
| 30 days | 7 | -5.31% | -0.55% | 28.6% | 32.50% | -19.71% |
| 90 days | 7 | -25.17% | -25.31% | 0.0% | -2.66% | -52.03% |
Historical occurrences
7 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | -20.73 | $0.77 | -8.28% | -1.19% | -1.61% | -4.88% | -0.67% | -2.66% |
| 2026-03-07 | -15.79 | $0.93 | +0.13% | +4.18% | +9.06% | +4.26% | -5.31% | -17.46% |
| 2026-02-01 | -20.61 | $1.17 | -3.83% | -3.32% | -12.42% | -9.88% | -19.44% | -21.47% |
| 2025-12-19 | -19.23 | $1.35 | +9.98% | +7.38% | +1.17% | +9.45% | +32.50% | -25.17% |
| 2025-12-16 | -16.80 | $1.47 | +2.83% | -8.37% | -0.63% | -2.15% | +26.72% | -28.07% |
| 2025-11-12 | -28.49 | $2.01 | -2.16% | -13.32% | -17.02% | -22.26% | -19.71% | -52.03% |
| 2025-10-11 | -27.89 | $2.61 | -2.55% | +14.63% | -6.55% | -3.35% | -17.97% | -30.34% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-03-07: +9.06%
- 2025-12-19: +1.17%
- 2025-12-16: -0.63%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-11-12: -17.02%
- 2026-02-01: -12.42%
- 2025-10-11: -6.55%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 30 day(s) falls to or below -15%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.