Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After a 15% 30-Day Correction

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after a 15% 30-day correction, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for Sui

7 historical signal(s) detected for Sui; 6 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (1 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades6
Win rate16.7%
Average return / trade-4.86%
Compounded total return-27.58%
Max drawdown-32.52%
Buy & hold, same period-71.12%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2025-10-11 2025-10-18 $2.6108 $2.4397 -6.55% 93.45
2025-11-12 2025-11-19 $2.0091 $1.6671 -17.02% 77.54
2025-12-16 2025-12-23 $1.4695 $1.4602 -0.63% 77.05
2026-02-01 2026-02-08 $1.1701 $1.0248 -12.42% 67.48
2026-03-07 2026-03-14 $0.9284 $1.0125 +9.06% 73.60
2026-06-05 2026-06-12 $0.7663 $0.7540 -1.61% 72.42

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for Sui ยท Read the full methodology