Transparent historical data
What Happens to Sui After a 10% Seven-Day Drop?
Sui has recorded 22 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -0.87% and 45.5% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -16.1% to -11.8% | 2 |
| -11.8% to -7.4% | 0 |
| -7.4% to -3.0% | 6 |
| -3.0% to +1.4% | 4 |
| +1.4% to +5.8% | 6 |
| +5.8% to +10.2% | 2 |
| +10.2% to +14.5% | 0 |
| +14.5% to +18.9% | 1 |
| +18.9% to +23.3% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
| Horizon | Sample | Median | Average | Positive | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 days | 23 | 0.18% | -0.12% | 52.2% | 20.99% | -12.18% |
| 3 days | 22 | -0.47% | 0.19% | 45.5% | 23.30% | -16.13% |
| 7 days | 22 | -0.87% | -3.04% | 45.5% | 19.72% | -32.85% |
| 14 days | 22 | -2.90% | -7.13% | 36.4% | 11.38% | -36.44% |
| 30 days | 20 | -4.84% | -8.97% | 50.0% | 26.99% | -39.16% |
| 90 days | 17 | -31.80% | -29.25% | 11.8% | 12.97% | -57.32% |
Historical occurrences
23 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | -13.46 | $0.70 | +2.62% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-31 | -16.35 | $0.71 | +2.19% | +4.92% | +14.15% | -1.21% | — | — |
| 2026-08-29 | -11.86 | $0.74 | +0.18% | -2.31% | +1.58% | -2.45% | — | — |
| 2026-07-28 | -10.95 | $0.68 | +1.71% | +1.68% | +1.49% | +0.51% | +12.79% | — |
| 2026-06-24 | -11.60 | $0.70 | -2.67% | -0.90% | -1.97% | +3.48% | +5.75% | — |
| 2026-06-22 | -13.67 | $0.69 | +3.70% | -1.18% | -1.82% | +9.12% | +11.30% | — |
| 2026-06-11 | -11.87 | $0.73 | +3.77% | +5.66% | +5.53% | -5.75% | +1.62% | +11.65% |
| 2026-05-28 | -11.18 | $0.96 | -2.99% | -5.03% | -13.88% | -24.11% | -27.17% | -20.91% |
| 2026-05-18 | -21.58 | $1.04 | +1.87% | +3.27% | -1.24% | -14.30% | -23.75% | -35.15% |
| 2026-03-31 | -11.87 | $0.86 | +1.73% | -0.04% | +1.15% | +11.38% | +5.15% | -21.15% |
| 2026-03-29 | -12.33 | $0.86 | -1.41% | +2.10% | +1.44% | +9.51% | +8.87% | -18.90% |
| 2026-03-23 | -11.04 | $0.94 | +4.11% | +6.61% | -9.87% | -6.51% | +0.97% | -24.13% |
| 2026-02-24 | -10.85 | $0.91 | -1.84% | +6.18% | +3.29% | +5.99% | +9.86% | +12.97% |
| 2026-01-30 | -11.73 | $1.34 | -3.65% | -16.13% | -32.85% | -29.04% | -30.82% | -32.38% |
| 2026-01-20 | -11.06 | $1.58 | -5.42% | -3.72% | -6.84% | -25.82% | -39.16% | -41.50% |
| 2025-12-18 | -11.93 | $1.42 | -5.30% | +2.27% | -0.49% | -1.27% | +26.99% | -25.34% |
| 2025-12-02 | -11.86 | $1.35 | +20.99% | +23.30% | +19.72% | +9.19% | +4.32% | -31.80% |
| 2025-11-15 | -19.01 | $1.74 | +1.42% | -7.21% | -20.17% | -12.60% | -10.66% | -45.33% |
| 2025-11-09 | -11.02 | $2.12 | +1.19% | -5.07% | -16.54% | -36.44% | -23.87% | -51.57% |
| 2025-11-03 | -11.99 | $2.36 | -12.18% | -13.74% | -9.07% | -28.72% | -30.86% | -50.32% |
| 2025-10-21 | -13.92 | $2.58 | -3.33% | -5.74% | +1.27% | -19.71% | -37.75% | -35.75% |
| 2025-10-11 | -27.13 | $2.61 | -2.55% | +14.63% | -6.55% | -3.35% | -17.97% | -30.34% |
| 2025-09-25 | -11.01 | $3.36 | -6.80% | -5.44% | +4.86% | +5.21% | -24.94% | -57.32% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2025-12-02: +19.72%
- 2026-08-31: +14.15%
- 2026-06-11: +5.53%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-01-30: -32.85%
- 2025-11-15: -20.17%
- 2025-11-09: -16.54%
How this study works
An occurrence begins when the UTC daily reference-price return over 7 day(s) falls to or below -10%. Adjacent qualifying dates and the configured cooldown are grouped into one episode.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.