Transparent historical data
What Happens to Stellar After Negative Funding?
This study currently has no completed 7-day observations in the locally stored Stellar dataset.
Source: Binance USDⓈ-M Futures and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-11 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 14-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -26.2% to -18.9% | 1 |
| -18.9% to -11.6% | 6 |
| -11.6% to -4.3% | 16 |
| -4.3% to +3.0% | 10 |
| +3.0% to +10.3% | 6 |
| +10.3% to +17.6% | 5 |
| +17.6% to +25.0% | 1 |
| +25.0% to +32.3% | 0 |
| +32.3% to +39.6% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
49 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | -0.02 | $0.18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-14 | -0.00 | $0.18 | +8.12% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-09 | -0.01 | $0.19 | -3.52% | -5.06% | -6.26% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-02 | -0.01 | $0.18 | -0.13% | +2.16% | +6.86% | +0.16% | — | — |
| 2026-08-31 | -0.01 | $0.17 | +1.48% | +0.48% | +7.31% | +1.48% | — | — |
| 2026-08-18 | -0.03 | $0.16 | -2.10% | +14.87% | +22.51% | +12.15% | — | — |
| 2026-08-14 | -0.00 | $0.16 | -0.84% | -1.97% | +13.90% | +17.61% | +12.90% | — |
| 2026-08-09 | -0.00 | $0.16 | -1.25% | -1.50% | -3.92% | +18.98% | +17.72% | — |
| 2026-08-03 | -0.00 | $0.17 | -1.64% | -5.29% | -6.72% | -10.23% | +0.96% | — |
| 2026-07-28 | -0.02 | $0.17 | +1.27% | +0.05% | -0.37% | -6.11% | +7.91% | — |
| 2026-07-22 | -0.01 | $0.19 | -2.40% | -7.39% | -9.38% | -12.22% | -5.45% | — |
| 2026-07-20 | -0.01 | $0.19 | +0.19% | -0.32% | -3.00% | -7.42% | -17.70% | — |
| 2026-07-12 | -0.00 | $0.19 | +0.03% | -1.03% | +0.74% | -4.38% | -13.42% | — |
| 2026-07-07 | -0.01 | $0.20 | -5.62% | -6.85% | -9.67% | -5.79% | -17.55% | — |
| 2026-06-06 | -0.02 | $0.20 | +4.65% | -0.23% | -7.39% | +7.42% | +0.14% | -9.07% |
| 2026-05-28 | -0.02 | $0.16 | +24.25% | +40.51% | +27.63% | +11.63% | +8.45% | +11.52% |
| 2026-05-25 | -0.00 | $0.15 | +1.49% | +11.06% | +76.41% | +39.59% | +32.31% | +32.75% |
| 2026-05-12 | -0.00 | $0.17 | -3.62% | -3.75% | -12.66% | -11.19% | +8.48% | -3.58% |
| 2026-05-10 | -0.00 | $0.16 | +4.25% | -0.19% | -6.68% | -9.11% | +24.53% | -0.80% |
| 2026-04-26 | -0.01 | $0.17 | +0.59% | -4.69% | -5.87% | -4.28% | -11.97% | +4.67% |
| 2026-04-22 | -0.01 | $0.18 | -1.34% | -3.30% | -9.57% | -10.73% | -18.26% | +5.21% |
| 2026-04-09 | -0.00 | $0.16 | -1.61% | -2.50% | +0.28% | +12.13% | +3.85% | +19.79% |
| 2026-04-04 | -0.01 | $0.16 | -0.61% | -4.30% | -4.76% | +7.03% | -3.04% | +22.18% |
| 2026-04-02 | -0.02 | $0.17 | -3.48% | -4.37% | -6.94% | -6.68% | -5.73% | +11.34% |
| 2026-03-28 | -0.02 | $0.17 | +0.59% | +0.19% | -2.56% | -7.19% | +2.24% | +7.01% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-05-25: +76.41%
- 2026-05-28: +27.63%
- 2026-08-18: +22.51%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2026-01-29: -18.58%
- 2025-12-11: -15.89%
- 2026-05-12: -12.66%
How this study works
Each Binance funding rate is normalized to an eight-hour equivalent. An episode begins when that rate is below 0%. Consecutive qualifying funding intervals are grouped, and returns begin from the exact UTC date of the first qualifying interval.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.