Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After Negative Funding
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after negative funding, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Stellar
49 historical signal(s) detected for Stellar; 29 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (20 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-12 | 2025-09-19 | $0.3954 | $0.3965 | +0.29% | 100.29 |
| 2025-09-22 | 2025-09-29 | $0.3800 | $0.3676 | -3.25% | 97.03 |
| 2025-10-08 | 2025-10-15 | $0.3842 | $0.3375 | -12.14% | 85.25 |
| 2025-11-09 | 2025-11-16 | $0.2833 | $0.2595 | -8.39% | 78.10 |
| 2025-11-19 | 2025-11-26 | $0.2559 | $0.2520 | -1.50% | 76.93 |
| 2025-11-30 | 2025-12-07 | $0.2541 | $0.2395 | -5.76% | 72.50 |
| 2025-12-11 | 2025-12-18 | $0.2501 | $0.2104 | -15.89% | 60.98 |
| 2025-12-26 | 2026-01-02 | $0.2098 | $0.2086 | -0.57% | 60.63 |
| 2026-01-11 | 2026-01-18 | $0.2261 | $0.2305 | +1.91% | 61.79 |
| 2026-01-18 | 2026-01-25 | $0.2305 | $0.2117 | -8.15% | 56.75 |
| 2026-01-29 | 2026-02-05 | $0.2103 | $0.1712 | -18.58% | 46.21 |
| 2026-02-06 | 2026-02-13 | $0.1649 | $0.1566 | -5.04% | 43.88 |
| 2026-02-15 | 2026-02-22 | $0.1744 | $0.1611 | -7.65% | 40.52 |
| 2026-03-12 | 2026-03-19 | $0.1592 | $0.1697 | +6.59% | 43.19 |
| 2026-03-22 | 2026-03-29 | $0.1606 | $0.1681 | +4.69% | 45.22 |
| 2026-04-02 | 2026-04-09 | $0.1693 | $0.1575 | -6.94% | 42.08 |
| 2026-04-09 | 2026-04-16 | $0.1575 | $0.1580 | +0.28% | 42.20 |
| 2026-04-22 | 2026-04-29 | $0.1790 | $0.1619 | -9.57% | 38.16 |
| 2026-05-10 | 2026-05-17 | $0.1626 | $0.1517 | -6.68% | 35.61 |
| 2026-05-25 | 2026-06-01 | $0.1474 | $0.2600 | +76.41% | 62.82 |
| 2026-06-06 | 2026-06-13 | $0.2029 | $0.1879 | -7.39% | 58.17 |
| 2026-07-07 | 2026-07-14 | $0.1999 | $0.1806 | -9.67% | 52.55 |
| 2026-07-20 | 2026-07-27 | $0.1880 | $0.1824 | -3.00% | 50.97 |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-08-04 | $0.1718 | $0.1712 | -0.37% | 50.78 |
| 2026-08-09 | 2026-08-16 | $0.1644 | $0.1580 | -3.92% | 48.79 |
| 2026-08-18 | 2026-08-25 | $0.1580 | $0.1936 | +22.51% | 59.78 |
| 2026-08-31 | 2026-09-07 | $0.1746 | $0.1874 | +7.31% | 64.15 |
| 2026-09-09 | 2026-09-16 | $0.1878 | $0.1760 | -6.26% | 60.13 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.