Transparent historical data
What Happens to Solana When Fear & Greed Falls Below 10?
Solana has recorded 6 completed independent occurrences in this 7-day study. The median subsequent return was -0.96% and 50.0% of outcomes finished higher.
Source: Alternative.me Crypto Fear & Greed Index and CoinGecko. Available local data: 2025-09-10 through 2026-09-16. Compare across assets → · Backtest this rule →
Outcome summary
Distribution of 3-day outcomes
| Return range | Occurrences |
|---|---|
| -5.9% to -4.0% | 2 |
| -4.0% to -2.1% | 0 |
| -2.1% to -0.2% | 0 |
| -0.2% to +1.7% | 0 |
| +1.7% to +3.6% | 0 |
| +3.6% to +5.5% | 1 |
| +5.5% to +7.5% | 1 |
| +7.5% to +9.4% | 1 |
| +9.4% to +11.3% | 1 |
All forward horizons
Click a horizon to jump the summary above to it, or a column header to re-sort this table.
Historical occurrences
6 independent episodes. Recent events can have incomplete longer horizons.
Filters apply to the list below only — outcome statistics above use the complete historical sample.
| Date | Trigger | Price | 1d | 3d | 7d | 14d | 30d | 90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | 8.00 | $66.42 | +0.57% | -4.88% | +7.22% | +9.03% | +21.32% | +55.31% |
| 2026-03-22 | 10.00 | $86.94 | -0.50% | +4.62% | -5.56% | -6.94% | -1.89% | -19.86% |
| 2026-03-09 | 8.00 | $81.88 | +3.83% | +5.71% | +13.38% | +5.65% | +4.71% | -24.06% |
| 2026-03-02 | 10.00 | $83.74 | +3.60% | +8.76% | -2.22% | +10.87% | -0.84% | -1.26% |
| 2026-02-06 | 9.00 | $78.40 | +10.93% | +11.26% | +0.29% | +5.42% | +6.66% | +13.73% |
| 2025-11-15 | 10.00 | $138.99 | +0.20% | -5.88% | -7.49% | -1.14% | -6.83% | -43.43% |
Best 7-day cases
- 2026-03-09: +13.38%
- 2026-06-08: +7.22%
- 2026-02-06: +0.29%
Worst 7-day cases
- 2025-11-15: -7.49%
- 2026-03-22: -5.56%
- 2026-03-02: -2.22%
How this study works
Daily Fear & Greed observations satisfying the inclusive threshold are grouped into episodes, then returns are measured from the target asset's same-date price.
Forward return = ((price on T + horizon / price on T) − 1) × 100. Missing exact UTC dates are marked incomplete and excluded from aggregates. Percentiles use inclusive linear interpolation.