Historical rule simulator
Backtest: When Fear & Greed Falls Below 10
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy when fear & greed falls below 10, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Solana
6 historical signal(s) detected for Solana; 6 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | 2025-11-22 | $138.9855 | $128.5723 | -7.49% | 92.51 |
| 2026-02-06 | 2026-02-13 | $78.4043 | $78.6297 | +0.29% | 92.77 |
| 2026-03-02 | 2026-03-09 | $83.7399 | $81.8843 | -2.22% | 90.72 |
| 2026-03-09 | 2026-03-16 | $81.8843 | $92.8425 | +13.38% | 102.86 |
| 2026-03-22 | 2026-03-29 | $86.9407 | $82.1077 | -5.56% | 97.14 |
| 2026-06-08 | 2026-06-15 | $66.4248 | $71.2182 | +7.22% | 104.15 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.